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OGAC

Otorofani Global Affairs Commentaries

Month

October 2010

Democracy-in-Chains—Code of Ethics for Ethnic Gladiators

  • “Figuratively speaking, every time an Abubakar Atiku, former vice president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria stands behind his ethnic flag to proclaim his run for the nation’s presidency; every time a Kenneth Nnamani, former president of the Senate of the Federal Republic of Nigeria stands behind his ethnic flag to stake his bid for the nation’s vice-presidency, it chips away at the foundations of nationhood and flies the nation’s flag at half mast.”
  • “It’s indeed a matter for regret that those who have been honored by the nation in the past to serve at the highest offices in the land have turned their backs on the nation and retreated into ethnic sanctuaries to become virulent ethnic gladiators. Nothing stops Atiku, Nnamani or any other presidential aspirant for that matter from standing behind the Nigerian flag rather than behind Ndigbo or AREWA flag to proclaim his presidential bid. Statesmanship, if it has any meaning at all in Nigeria, demands nothing less”.—Franklin Otorofani, Esq.
  • “In making that statement, one would want to ask; did he consult the Emir of Zauzau, or the Shehu of Borno, or the Ohinoyi of Ebrialand, or the Gbong Gwon Jos? Aren’t they northerners? Did he consult the north CAN Chairman or the JNI leader in the north? Did he consult the various youth organisations or the women body or the Governors in the North, who are elected representatives of the people? Certainly no, it is very clear that he is driving at a personal agenda.”
  • “From all our researches and enquiries, he has not consulted any of these groups. So, we begin to wonder which north he is talking about. Is it the north of re-cycled leaders who want to keep doing it? He has served as minister; his wife has done same; is it because his son has not been made a minister in this dispensation that he is busy making inflammatory statement?”—Yakubu Dati, former Plateau State Information and Communication Commissioner, reacting to the call by Mallam Adamu Ciroma on Jonathan to resign. (ThisDay 10-21-2010)

 

Democracy is a system of government that is distinctively and clearly differentiated from authoritarian—military, theocratic, and monarchical systems of government by its permanent and insistent demands for periodic elections into various offices in the largely multi-tier governmental structures presented in the prevailing political environments in place all over the modern, democratic world. By “multi-tier governmental structures” is meant the various levels of government that subsist in given political environments. 

While the governmental structures necessarily vary from one country to another as dictated by their particular political environments, these structures invariably span local administrations superintending over municipal shores, such as for instance; garbage collection, local policing, road maintenance, water and electricity supplies and/or regulations, traffic regulations, birth and death registration, issuance of local permits and licenses for commercial activities, all the way to national administrations presiding over national affairs, such as for instance; defense, security, foreign affairs, post and telecommunication, customs and excise, immigration, border control and the like, that affect the nation as a whole rather than a part or parts thereof.

It must quickly be noted here that the allocation of these functions also varies from one political environment to another and is by no means uniform. Suffice it to state, however, that these functions are contained in the Exclusive and Concurrent Legislative lists in the Nigerian constitution with items in the Exclusive list belonging exclusively to the center and the items in the Concurrent list belonging to both the center and the states, i.e., local administrations.  

However, these matters, whether they belong to local or national authorities cannot be handled by individuals acting as individuals, but by individuals acting as a governing body, and that’s why they’re referred to as “the government”. In reality, therefore, “government” is no more than a body of individuals empowered by individual members of a society to attend to these matters on their behalf. “Government” is, by this definition, an agent of the people who constituted it, including those who took no part at all in its constitution, but are nonetheless co-opted into the resulting agency relationship.

The means by which “governments” are constituted in a democracy is by periodic elections either to renew the tenure of an existing government or bring in a new set of individuals to constitute another government as individual members of the society may deem fit solely in their judgment or discretion. Thus a functioning democracy is all about the infinite succession of governments at various levels of governmental structures in a political system constituted by individual members of society for a term certain.

Now their decisions to empower certain individuals to constitute a government may or may not be wise and prudent in particular instances, but it’s their decisions, regardless. The wisdom or prudence of their decisions is not a matter to be questioned, but taken as fait accompli. Democracy only requires them to make the decisions, but it’s not concerned about the wisdom and prudence of the decisions so made by the individuals at the polls. Thus for instance, if the individuals in the aggregate decide to elect armed robbery ex-convicts to lead them, it is their business not of democracy. If they choose to elect fraudsters, treasury looters or incompetents to lead them, it is their business not of democracy. And if they choose to elect complete fools to lead them into the kingdom of fools, it is their business not of democracy. What they elect is what they get (WTEIWTG).    

Center of the Universe

However, because democracy is about elections before anything else, it presupposes the primacy of the individual in making democratic choices during elections. It is thus incumbent on the individual member of society to decide who among several candidates put forward in an election is best qualified to secure his freedoms and liberties and material wellbeing to enable him lead a meaningful and worthwhile life along with his fellow citizens in his neck of the woods. This is not rocket science and one would think that anyone with average intelligence would understand this pretty well.

But this decision he must make himself for himself, not through an agent, intermediary, surrogate or by proxy. And he may even decide not to decide at all. It’s all in his discretion to decide or not to decide, which means staying off the polling booths during polls for whatever reasons. And this is so because the exercise of franchise is not by compulsion but by persuasions and personal convictions. Democracy compels no one to the polls but compels all to live by their decisions either for good or evil. 

However, whether the individual decides to decide or not, his decision has far reaching repercussions in his life and in some cases even the lives of others around him in his community somewhere down the road. But he must live with his decision until such a time that he’s presented with another opportunity to change or reaffirm his decision in a fresh election.

It is fair to conclude therefore that his ballot holds the key to his future and perhaps the future of others in his community. This is what makes elections extremely important; in fact, life changing events on the part of the individual citizen. And it’s the reason why his decisions cannot be outsourced to another individual or group, because he alone will bear the consequences of his decisions down the road even while taking others down with him. He cannot hold another but himself responsible for his decision whether it brings him curse or blessing, pain or joy. In modern times, these choices are usually expressed through paper ballots, actually marked and cast by the voter at any given election.

However, what qualifies a citizen to cast his/her ballot at a given election is his/her prior registration as a voter, which in turn is predicated upon his/her satisfaction of age and citizenship requirements including residency status amongst others.  It is safe to conclude, therefore, that democracy revolves around the individual members of society by enabling them to make democratic choices. It’s the aggregation of the individual votes that determine the winner or loser of a particular election as the case may be.

In this democratic paradigm, therefore, it is the individual, not groups, that is at the center of the electoral universe. Consequently, there are no ballots for individual groups, but the individual voter. There are no ballots for individual ethnic groups, but the individual voter. There are no ballots for professional bodies, unions or trade groups, but the individual voter. He is the one at the center of it all, not the government or political parties. He is the bride for whom all the preparations, ceremonies are rituals are carried out. On no account therefore should he stay at the periphery as an onlooker, but must step forward to claim the stage that has been prepared for him. He must claim what belongs to him and him alone, by law and the constitution.

But how many voters appreciate the power of the ballots they hold in their hands? How many of them understand that they alone and not Ohaneze, AREWA, or Afenifere can fire and hire the government of the day to lead them in the next four years? And how many of them appreciate the fact that they alone, the individuals and not the NBA, NUJ, NLC, ICAN, ASUU or the People’s Club of Nigeria, vocal and active as they may be, can hire and fire the government of the day? How many of them know that CAN and JNI have no vote in an election? I could wager a bet on this: not a whole lot, and that’s due to lack of political education. It’s a shame that everyone knows the value of the banknotes they clutch possessively in their hands, but only a few know the real value of the ballots and that’s why they sell them short!  

Yet the Nigerian voter must be made to appreciate the fact that no other entity is entitled to register, receive and cast a single ballot during election other than the individual voter. Only individual citizens may have their names on voters register and they alone may vote at elections. I have used the word “may” advisedly, because as indicated above voting is not a compulsory but a voluntary undertaking on the part of the individual. Yet he/she alone has the power to vote. The individual voter is the only one empowered by law and the constitution to determine the winner and loser of any given election and therefore to him alone and to no one else must an electoral candidate present his manifesto, direct his message, appeals and persuasions. Thus the entire electoral process is geared toward getting that individual to the polling booth to cast his/her vote for the candidate of his/her choice. The huge investments in elections are meant to achieve this singular objective of bringing the individual to the polls to constitute a new government.

Obviously, this is an awesome power conferred on individual citizens in democratic societies that was in the past denied to certain demographics in certain nations for which many laid down their lives to help secure for the disenfranchised in such societies. It is, therefore, disheartening that many have decided to treat this enormous, life-changing power with levity and total indifference, almost bordering on contempt for the electoral process.

The reality on the ground in Nigeria points to the fact that the individual voter counts for less in the making of democratic choices. In fact, the individual voter has completely been relegated to the background. Or I should say the individual voter has relegated himself to the background and sold himself short in the democratic enterprise. How so? When he’s not busy selling his votes for a pot of porridge, he is using his vote to install known thieves who are out to loot public treasury and further impoverish him and his family while paying lip service to the conditions of existing social infrastructures.

Thus the average voter in Nigeria has sold his future to the highest bidder and his soul to the Devil. He has abdicated his responsibility to himself, his family and his community. The Nigerian voter has elected to place his future in the hands of political contractors instead of placing it in his own hands with the power of the ballot. If the Nigerian voter determines that his ballot is a non-negotiable instrument for his economic and social empowerment no politician can steal it from him through rigging anymore than a thief can steal his hard earned cash from his gritty hands and get away with it. He will protect it with the last drop of his blood as the mother hen protects its chicks from the hawks. He will use his ballot as bargaining chip to secure the greatest social and economic benefits for himself, his family and his community. But all too often he has allowed himself to be hoodwinked, bamboozled and shortchanged, and winds up holding the short end of the stick. 

Effects on Democracy

And because of this prevailing attitude amongst the citizenry, the unscrupulous politician is able to bulldoze his way through the electoral process to install himself in power with no fear of repercussions only to wreak havoc on the polity. And because of this prevailing attitude the smart politician is able to ignore and bypass the voter and proceed directly to power brokers in his community to strike deals behind the voter that in no way represent the interests and wellbeing of the voter. And because of this prevailing attitude opportunistic organizations masquerading as cultural organizations, which severally go by the names of Arewa Consultative Assembly (ACF), Afenifere and Ohaneze; respectively for the North, West and Eastern parts of the nation have invaded the political landscape to peddle their merchandize of ethnicity in the public space to hoodwink the unwary voter.

Organizations that claim to be cultural in their aims and objectives are anything but cultural in their pronouncements and activities. Since their founding none of them has been associated with any major or even minor cultural events in their domains. No one can count on AREWA, Afenifere or Ohaneze to sponsor a cultural event in their domains. No one can count on any of these organizations to sponsor any major development project in their domains whether related to the preservation of their cultural heritage or not. They absolutely have no record of cultural or other developmental achievement to point to, whatsoever. Instead they have reduced their organizations to un-official regional political parties that arrogate to themselves the right to determine who gets what in the political arena.

Purely political organizations disguised as cultural organizations have bulldozed their way into the political scene and imposed their own agenda on their people by standing on the platforms of ethnicity. And in the process have succeeded in rendering their respective electorates utterly impotent and irrelevant in the schemes of things. These undemocratic bodies have arrogantly and impudently arrogated to themselves the power to dictate to their electorates their political choices and preferences. In other words, they have effectively disenfranchised the voters in their respective regions.

Youths and even elders alike in these regions dominated by ethnic organizations have been made to sit on the fence, wait on and read the lips of these self-seeking elders before they make up their minds on whom to vote for at elections. Their minds have literarily been hijacked and subjected to remote control by their elders who now dictate their political choices. And this they do without as much as reaching out to them first to feel their pulse before imposing their decisions on them, usually through some terse public statement callously tossed at them after their secret, coven-like conclaves. 

These wily politicians purporting to be fighting for their “marginalized” peoples were given ample opportunities in the past to serve and demonstrate their love for their peoples and Nigerians in general, but turned their backs on their peoples. They have only records of shame they cannot run on, which explains why they resort to cheap ethnicity as a crutch to keep them relevant. But people are too caught up with their daily grinds to question their motives and unflattering antecedents.

But it’s hard to blame the unsuspecting voter. These so-called elders are masters of the game and adepts at changing colors. As soon as they’re kicked out of power they transform themselves into ethnic champions seeking to use that platform to get back to power or bounce back into political reckoning. The unfortunate aspect of it all is that no one voted them into power; no one conferred on them the powers they purport to exercise on behalf of their peoples. No one asked them to act as their representatives. They’re totally on their own. Yet they have succeeded in hijacking the common ethnic identity of their people to promote their selfish political ambitions, interests or sympathies as the case may be. This is why their people must be extremely wary of their ethnic posturing because it is not genuine. It is faked for a definite objective. Once achieved, they’re quick to reveal their true colors and turn their backs on their peoples. This they have demonstrated time and again and only a fool would allow himself to be their fall guy.

These are individual politicians seeking political relevance in their domains coming together to exploit the platform of ethnicity to feather their own political nests in the name of their people but would not submit themselves to be vetted by the very people they claim to represent. They’re above their people. They have imposed themselves on their people as their leaders just by saying so. But it’s clear that these individuals are only exploiting the traditional respect for elders to promote their political interests and are responsible to no one but themselves. In a democracy all powers must flow from bottom up and not from top down. Anything contrary to that is fraud.    

Effects on Governance

There is no question that ethno-religious considerations have adversely affected the quality of government and delivery of services to the citizens of the country by government ministries, agencies and developments. Once a top government position is filled by somebody from a particular ethnic group, that department or institution is gradually colonized by his ethnic group from top down. If the head is an Igbo man, that institution or department is turned into an Igbo colony; if he’s Hausa, it becomes an Hausa colony; if he’s from the Yoruba ethnic stock, it’s turned into a Yoruba republic. It doesn’t matter the ethnic group, the same thing happens throughout the bureaucracy, including Nigerian embassies and missions abroad. Federal character, which is provided for in the constitution, is not applied or enforced at the lower levels in the government’s bureaucracy. And this extends to the award of contracts and LPOs for supplies.

The ethnicisation of the public domain has turned public service into islands of ethnic republics that are shuttered from citizens from other ethnic groups in blatant disregard for constitutional provisions mandating a level playing field. No one gets hired if he does not speak the right ethnic language, bears the right ethnic name, or carries the right ethnic facial marks. Certificates and experience count for less. Competence counts for less. Dedication to duty counts for less. This is a huge drag on the nation’s forward march that must be addressed. The nation cannot afford to keep and maintain the ethnic islands that currently exist in the nation’s public service system, right from the presidency on down to the local government.    

Effects on Nationhood

It must be emphasized, however, that the centrifugal forces represented by these selfish organizations have wrought immense havoc on nationhood. They’re responsible for Nigeria’s inability to forge a nation out of its mini-nations. And they’re responsible for Nigeria’s fragile unity and nationhood.  They’re the biggest roadblocks to Nigeria’s attainment of nationhood and might very well doom the nation’s young democracy more than anything else including electoral malpractices. AREWA, Ohaneze, and Afenifere pose the greatest threat to Nigeria’s democracy than all other things put together!

These are the groups pulling the nation apart rather than pulling it together. The only way Nigeria can forge ahead in nation building is to whittle down these centrifugal forces to be replaced with centripetal forces. Sustainable democracy cannot be constructed on the faulty foundations of ethnicity as the situation in Iraq and Afghanistan has made abundantly clear. Up till date Iraq is unable to form a national government months after its general elections due to ethnic wrangling. We will therefore be deceiving ourselves by building our democracy on the foundations of ethnicity and expecting it to last.

All the signs of a troublous future are writ large in the Nigeria polity. It is therefore imperative on the part of the Nigerian authorities to subsume ethnic loyalties under national loyalties for the simple fact that ethnic loyalties cannot co-exist with national loyalties.

A nation with divided loyalties is like a house divided against itself and therefore cannot stand as the Holy Book tells us. To pretend that both loyalties can co-exist is to court disaster in the now and in the future. To hope that the one will voluntarily give way to the other is to luxuriate in wishful thinking.

Ethnicity is stronger than nationalism, and if one will give way to the other, it is nationalism that will buck first and that spells nothing but disaster for the polity. It’s the beginning of the end. The fact that no deliberate efforts are being made in this direction makes one shudder at the prospects of the continued existence of the nation as one indivisible and indissoluble entity. So far providence has been doing the job of keeping the nation together for us. But we cannot continue to count on God to preserve the union without doing our part as a people in the direction of nation building. At a time God might get tired of doing it for us as happened in other nations like the Soviet Union and Somalia.

And the way to foster national loyalties and allegiances is by creating a level playing field for all constituent units of the union of nationalities by ensuring that every unit has equal stake in the union. In the United States this is called “equal opportunities” for all citizens regardless of the color, religion, sex or geographical region made possible by anti-discrimination laws that are vigorously enforced and breaches sanctioned as a matter of duty.

The Nigerian constitution has similar provisions in section 42(1) & (2), which I would crave the indulgence of the reader to reproduce below, because they are so important and germane to this discourse:

42. (1) A citizen of Nigeria of a particular community, ethnic group, place of origin, sex, religion or political opinion shall not, by reason only that he is such a person:-

(a) be subjected either expressly by, or in the practical application of, any law in force in Nigeria or any executive or administrative action of the government, to disabilities or restrictions to which citizens of Nigeria of other communities, ethnic groups, places of origin, sex, religions or political opinions are not made subject; or

(b) be accorded either expressly by, or in the practical application of, any law in force in Nigeria or any such executive or administrative action, any privilege or advantage that is not accorded to citizens of Nigeria of other communities, ethnic groups, places of origin, sex, religions or political opinions.

(2) No citizen of Nigeria shall be subjected to any disability or deprivation merely by reason of the circumstances of his birth.

(3) Nothing in subsection (1) of this section shall invalidate any law by reason only that the law imposes restrictions with respect to the appointment of any person to any office under the State or as a member of the armed forces of the Federation or member of the Nigeria Police Forces or to an office in the service of a body, corporate established directly by any law in force in Nigeria.

This is what the supreme law of the land commands the Nigerian nation and its governments and authorities to observe and enforce at all levels of government in the land including private organizations as well, not just governments only. That being so, it comes as a surprise that some politicians from a section of the country are seeking to prevent other citizens from another section of the country from vying for the position of president of the nation in utter disregard and contempt for these clear and unambiguous provisions of the Nigerian constitution by citing a so-called unwritten bogus zoning agreement, which to them is superior to the nation’s constitution. And it comes as a surprise therefore that the Nigerian press has been complicit in promoting discrimination against a Nigerian from certain parts of the country by harping on zoning rather than questioning its constitutionality and legality in the first place. When a nation’s press indulges in the inanities inherent in a bogus extra-constitutional contraptions to promote discrimination against a fellow citizens from certain parts of the country our fundamental constitutional rights are in danger. I have yet to see a Nigerian reporter questioning any of those ethnic champions championing zoning why the constitutional provisions reproduced above should give way to a party agreement in our constitutional order?

Is the Nigerian constitution supreme or not? Does it have binding force on all authorities in the land or not? These are the only questions that need to be asked and answered, not party provisions that are inconsistent with its provisions, and therefore rendered null and void by the force of the constitution itself as provided in section in section 1(1) thereof to-wit:

“This Constitution is supreme and its provisions shall have binding force on the authorities and persons throughout the Federal Republic of Nigeria.”

What planet is the Nigerian press living on? Does it read the Nigerian constitution at all or it’s reading AREWA constitution drawn up by Mallam Adamu Ciroma and his ethnic jingoists in AREWA House in Kaduna?

It would appear that the Nigerian press is more interested in sensationalism than the enforcement of the constitutional rights of the citizens. I have yet to have a reporter ask the question why a citizen should give up his fundamental right guaranteed in the constitution to please ethnic jingoists from any part of the country.

This is a far cry from what obtains in the United States where the press is at the forefront of promoting defending the civil rights of citizens for which many fought for and died for in the past. In giving vents and wide latitude to arch-tribalists and sectionalists the Nigerian press is complicit in whittling down national allegiances and promoting ethnic and sectional allegiances. The Nigerian press can do better in drawing the line between the constitution and extra-constitutional shenanigans that are being hauled in our faces. The Nigerian press can do better than turning itself into the megaphone of megalomaniacs trying to force themselves on us all.

Patriotism, which is simply the love of country, cannot be decreed but internalized by the citizenry. Ultimately, it is borne out of individual belief and conviction. However, the state and the press can help to foster the spirit of patriotism and nationalism in the citizenry and public office holders and the press should lead the way.

Figuratively speaking, every time an Abubakar Atiku, former vice president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria stands behind his ethnic flag to proclaim his run for the nation’s presidency; every time a Kenneth Nnamani, former president of the Senate of the Federal Republic of Nigeria stands behind his ethnic flag to stake his bid for the nation’s vice-presidency, it chips away at the foundations of nationhood and flies the nation’s flag at half mast.

It’s indeed a matter for regret that those who have been honored by the nation in the past to serve at the highest offices in the nation have turned their backs on the nation and retreated into ethnic sanctuaries to become virulent ethnic gladiators. Nothing stops Atiku, Nnamani or any other presidential aspirant for that matter from standing behind the Nigerian flag rather than behind Ndigbo or AREWA flag to proclaim his presidential bid. Statesmanship, if it has any meaning at all in Nigeria, demands nothing less. 

The AREWA Challenge

While all these groups are guilty as charged, AREWA in particular has taken this proclivity to ridiculous and dangerous lengths in the North. It has left no one in doubt that it is firmly anchored in the political and not cultural business. Presently, AREWA is unabashedly engaged in the process of producing a so-called “consensus candidate” for the so-called North in the

forthcoming presidential election on the platform of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).

In a move that belies its cultural pretensions AREWA rolled out its political drums in this report by the Nation newspaper in its 20/03/2010 edition:

The Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) has constituted the biggest committee in its 10-year’ history and given it a sole mandate to prepare and execute a political agenda that would yield results in the 2011 elections and governance issues thereafter.”

“Findings by our correspondent indicate that the committee’s inaugural meeting and its election of a pioneer leadership took place at the ACF headquarters in Kaduna between 11 a.m. and 3 p.m. on Wednesday when the chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Maurice Iwu, was presenting INEC’s timetable for 2011 elections in Abuja.”

“On Wednesday, the ACF Political Committee elected former Minister of State in the Power and Steel Development Ministry, Alhaji Mohammed Ahmed Gusau, as its chairman, while the former governor of Borno State, Alhaji Mohammadu Goni, declined the job, insisting that he wanted a younger person to take the position.”

The above report shows conclusively that AREWA’s activities are anything but cultural, and it’s all politics all the time. That was way back in March, 2010. AREWA has since made good its plans and has been barring its fangs at President Jonathan. AREWA is the only ethnic organization in the nation that has taken it upon its self to pick a political fight with a democratically elected, sitting president totally unprovoked and unsolicited.

Pray, is the nomination of a presidential candidate a cultural matter that AREWA claims to represent? Who in the North contracted AREWA to carry out that consensus business for the North? And who appointed AREWA judge in the matter of vetting presidential or any other candidates for elective positions in the nation?

Reports have it that the AREWA’s other ad-hoc committee, the so-called Northern Political Leaders Forum (NPLF) headed by the fast degenerating Mallam Adamu Ciroma, has even gone as far as not only deciding who the consensus candidate should be, but who amongst the runners-up will decide the next vice president, Senate president, speaker of the House of Reps and even Secretary to the Federal Government as “consolation prizes”.

Can you imagine the arrogance and impudence of Adamu Ciroma and AREWA gang deciding who the next president, vice president, senate president, speaker of the House of Reps and secretary to the Federal Government should be! AREWA might as well take over the Federal Government, for crying out loud! At a time Nigerians are yearning for the broadening and deepening of democracy at all levels a gang of ethnic throwbacks led by one old man are gathered in the bedroom of their leader to impose a presidential aspirant on the entire north without reference to the northern publics. And they expect the disqualified aspirants to walk away without fighting back and give up their presidential ambitions because the Almighty Mallam Adama Ciroma has decreed it. It is democracy Ciroma style!

How about giving the people of the north a say in who will represent them in the PDP primaries? How about some democracy, Mallam Ciroma? How about subjecting the presidential aspirants in the north under the PDP platform to regional primaries to enable the people themselves decide who flies the flag for the north? Why should a handful of elders be allowed to hijack the people’s right to determine their fate in a democracy?

But AREWA is not done. In its desperation to produce the next president for the north AREWA has gone for broke by discarding its cultural pretensions and disguises and openly coming out to campaign for northern candidates in the ruling PDP. It has waged a relentless war against the sitting president, Goodluck Jonathan who is perceived as an obstacle to the realization of its ethnic dream of producing the next president. AREWA has reduced itself to the unofficial political party of the north, threatening fire and brimstones should the north fail to produce the next president. And one begins to wonder: when was AREWA registered as a political party of the north? These people have thrown overboard good, old fashioned diplomacy, prudence and exercise of utmost discretion in their political activities as they relate to other regions in the nation.

In other well regulated climes, organizations other than political parties are not allowed to directly campaign on behalf of political parties, aspirants or candidates, and can only give their support in a discreet manner, not in the in-your–face manner that AREWA has resorted to in Nigeria to pursue its inglorious and illegal political objectives. 

AREWA has mounted more personal attacks on President Jonathan than all the presidential aspirants in the north combined. It constituted itself into the mouthpiece and campaign organization of PDP’s northern presidential aspirants, who simply sit back and have some expired, old ethnic gladiators do their jobs for them. They want to ride to power on the back of an ethnic horse to become Nigeria president. It’s impossible! They can only become president of the north, not of Nigeria. Nigeria and Nigerians are looking to have a Nigerian president, not northern president. At best the Ciroma gang can only succeed in producing an aspirant for the presidency of the north, not of Nigeria. And those who have lent themselves to the Ciroma plot have tacitly and unwittingly disqualified themselves from becoming a Nigerian president. They have revealed themselves as sectionalists and ethnic champions. Nigerians are not looking for ethnic champions but nationalists to rule over them.

Anyone looking to the nation’s presidency must demonstrate his statesmanship in real time when it matters most. I don’t see anyone in the AREWA backed pack doing so at this moment. Gen. Muhammadu Buhari has demonstrated greater degree of statesmanship that I had least expected given his bitter experience in previous elections that he lost. He has been demonstrating his democratic metamorphosis since the Yar’Adua illness saga all through the PDP zoning imbroglio. He deserves some credit for that and for distancing himself from AREWA shenanigans, if for nothing else.

AREWA tactics are dangerous not only to the unity of the nation, but also present serious danger to the nation’s budding democracy. This is an ethnic organization representing a region that has ruled the nation for 38 out of its 50 years of existence threatening fire and brimstones if it is not allowed to produce the next president in 2010. The way it’s going about it, one would think it has never tasted power at all in Nigeria like the South/South, or to some extent, the South/East. But this is the North that had permanently occupied the nation’s presidency to the total exclusion of other geo-political regions except by default, for crying out loud!

And now, AREWA had the temerity to call out Jonathan on the nation’s security. What a sick joke! It’s an organization that had several of its own sons presiding over the affairs of this nation sitting idly by when religious militia wantonly destroyed tens of thousands of lives and properties of other Nigerians resident in the north in addition to torching police stations. How in the world would a people with such a damnable record be heard issuing insane ultimatums for Jonathan to resign his office because of a terrorist bomb that claimed what, 12 or 14 lives, when tens of thousands perished under their watch?

Sure, every life is important and I’m not in anyway minimizing the loss of lives in the terrorist bombing near the Eagle Square during the nation’s jubilee celebrations even if it’s just one life lost, but to put matters in perspective. General Ibrahim Babangida presided over the first ever terrorist attack in the nation through a letter bomb and AREWA was muted in its reaction. His tenure witnessed several religions riots in the north that caught security agencies napping.

Even in this dispensation MEND struck at the heart of the nation’s income stream at Atlas Cove in 2009 destroying parts of the facility and killing a senior navy officer and others under the watch of late President Musa Yar’Adua, a northerner, and AREWA did not call for the resignation of Yar’Adua for his inability to prevent the attacks. Under the same Yar’Adua herdsmen unleashed mayhem on innocent citizens in Plateau state sending thousands to their early graves even with the security having foreknowledge of the impending attacks.  No one from the so-called AREWA raised any eyebrows let alone calling for Yar’Adua’s resignation.

Many nations have similarly witnessed spectacular terrorist attacks claiming hundreds if not thousands of lives at a go without anybody calling for the resignation of the sitting president or prime minister as the case may be. But here was AREWA throwing all caution to the winds demanding the resignation of Jonathan because of an attack that at best was more symbolic than damaging in comparison to other attacks in more developed countries with much better security surveillance systems than Nigeria.

To AREWA issuing ultimatums to Jonathan was more important than consoling the families of those who lost their lives and condemning the terrorists who wrecked havoc on the nation during her golden jubilee celebrations. AREWA is issuing ultimatums to even the National Assembly to impeach President Jonathan. What a sick joke! What will it do if the National Assembly treats his ultimatum as a piece of garbage that it is fit only for the trash can? Will AREWA bring the heavens down? Aren’t Nigerians right then in treating Ciroma as a clown and comedian deserving of no serious consideration in national affairs with his insane or at best clownish ultimatums?

AREWA was more interested in playing politics with the nation’s security and pointing fingers at the president than condemning those who were responsible for the attacks. Most probably, AREWA might have been quite happy if the terrorist had inflicted more damage than they did. In particular, AREWA would have been in its own celebratory mood had any serious harm befallen President Jonathan in the attacks. What better way to clear the road for the north to produce the next president?

Thus while the nation was gathered in Abuja to celebrate her 50th birthday some people apparently with foreknowledge of some evil happenstance coming the nation’s way, deliberately kept away from the venue ostensibly, because of the cost of the celebrations; and patiently waiting for some bad news from car bombs to go off to enable them have their own sick celebrations in their evil chambers. But flimsy and suspicious as this excuse is, it provides a window into the minds of Jonathan’s enemies in the political field within the ranks of the PDP presidential hopefuls and AREWA. This is as wicked and diabolical as politics gets anywhere in the world.

It would appear that AREWA was out to instigate the military to move against Jonathan ostensibly for not doing his job of protecting the nation. That must be the true objective of the attacks. Unfortunately for AREWA, the attacks did little damage. Unfortunately for AREWA, the military is no longer dominated by Northerners, who could be ordered to put down a democratically elected government by northern oligarchs. Unfortunately for AREWA the military has been professionalized under the previous Obasanjo administration to submit to civilian control and it’s now minding its own business. Unfortunately for AREWA, coup making has gone out of fashion and anachronistic in the modern world.

Therefore, AREWA and Ciroma can no longer count on the military to do their bidding as was the case in the past.  All that howling from Ciroma and AREWA is explicable in terms of the frustration they’re suffering since there is no military to carry out their bidding anymore. In the past they would not utter a word publicly to voice their disapproval of any government in power. All the nation would have heard would have been martial music blaring out of the radios early in the morning. The call by Ciroma and AREWA on the National Assembly to impeach Jonathan is the equivalent of military coup they’re used to instigating in the past, which option has been denied them in this dispensation. One can only imagine the frustration and exasperation that these old men have inflicted on themselves in their diabolical designs.    

And unfortunately for AREWA also, Alhaji Aliyu Muhammed Gusau, one of the presidential aspirants from the North that AREWA is fighting to crown as the nation’s president was the immediate past National Security Adviser, who resigned just about a month ago and must therefore account for the intelligence relating to the attacks. These attacks were not planned on the day they were carried out but long before then under his watch as national security adviser. And the ones that happened when he was in the same position as Security advisor under the Obasanjo administration he should account for as well, because the pot will not be allowed to call the kettle black and get away with it. What does he know about the attacks before his resignation? For him to have kept quiet when delusional Ciroma was vomiting his trash in his name shows him as not fit for the office he is aspiring to. He has not shown that he is a man of principle who would not sacrifice the nation’s security on the altar of ethnic interests. A more principled politician would have quickly dissociated himself from Ciroma’s senile gaffe.    

Gusau is not a stranger to terrorism in his former position as the nation’s security top dog. And he owes us an answer to this question since his mentor has obviously gone senile: Where in the world has a sitting president been asked to resign from office because of a terrorist attack? Is it in India, United States, Britain, Kenya, or Spain? Or, is it in Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia, or Israel? The answer is simple and direct: nowhere but in the demented minds of Mallam Adamu Ciroma and his co-travelers in ethnic bigotry in the reactionary AREWA political organization.

As against Jonathan who was barely five months old in office at the time of the Abuja bombings, President GW Bush was about nine months old in office when Al-Qeda struck the twin towers and the very heart of the US military establishment, the Pentagon. Although the Bush administration had intelligence about the impending attacks, it was impossible to connect the dots and piece the intelligence together to foil the attacks. We all know what the reactions of the political class were in the US. Both Democrats and Republicans, and indeed all Americans rose up and one voice condemned the attacks and vowed to take the war to the fortress of the Talibans and Al-Qeda in Afghanistan. And that was why the US Congress swiftly authorized the US war in Afghanistan with a near unanimous vote.

The important point to note, however, is that no one indulged in blame game by pointing fingers at the president for not preventing the attacks even if the intelligence was there. No one sought to make political capital of a national tragedy. No American politician would descend so low as to make political capital out of the deaths of over two thousand fellow citizens, who died at the World Trade Center, the Pentagon at the crashed airliner over the state of Virginia. The same goes for the Indians and Britons in similar tragedies. What planet are AREWA and Mallam Ciroma living on?

In Nigeria anything goes. Unscrupulous politicians in Nigeria have no qualms playing politics with a national tragedy and deaths of fellow citizens because they don’t care about the welfare of fellow citizens in the first place. They care only about themselves and their families while pretending to be fighting for their ethnic groups in order to gain political advantages. Does AREWA really care so much about the plight of northerners? If so all would have been well in the north in the past 38 years the north has been in power in the nation, including Balewa, IBB, Murtala, Buhari and Atiku being at the helm of affairs. But we know what their legacies are in the north. Their legacy is the beggars’ republic that is the north. Their legacy is the mass poverty and illiteracy that’s the north. Their legacy is the Boko Harams of the north. Their legacy is the economically dependent status of the north that cannot survive on its own without being in power at the center.

It’s a shame that desperate politicians in Nigeria sought to make political capital over the Abuja bombings. Ciroma and his ethnic gladiators ought to bury their heads in shame for their despicable and unpatriotic conduct. Imagine these people uttering not a single word in condemnation of the Abuja bombing; and not a single word of succor to the families of the victims of the attacks. How much lower can anybody go?

They want to pin the blame for the security lapses on Jonathan who just got to power less than six months ago? Whatever security lapses that exist in Nigeria today were inherited from the Yar’Adua under whose administration MEND became a real monster and the pogrom that took place in Plateau state. Where was AREWA then? Where was Ciroma then? He didn’t know how to issue ultimatums for resignations then? He just learnt how to write ultimatums when Jonathan declared to run for the presidency in 2011? Someone has got to have his head examined for mental degeneration.     

And I don’t say this with a cavalier attitude because I was brought up to respect elders. Elders are supposed to be repositories of wisdom and prudence in Africa and indeed all parts of the world perhaps more so in Africa. Their life experiences are supposed to have imbued in them wisdom, prudence and moderation in their private and public utterances more so in a volatile and combustible political climate like Nigeria. And for that they’re in turn supposed to be accorded respect and regard by society.

And it is even more so for an elder who has served as both Central Bank Governor and as Federal Minister, who is supposed to exhibit some level of statesmanship in his utterances. However, when a region allows itself to be represented by an elder who exhibits symptoms of senility in his public utterances concerning the nation’s security in the name of pursuing parochial ethnic interests, such an elder has lost all his privileges and entitlements to respect by reasonable members of the society. As such, he deserves to be called to order. Dirty as it may seem, even politics has its own moral and ethical boundaries too. Nigerian politicians can do with some code of ethics before they set our house on fire with their unguarded utterances.

However, it is clear that Ciroma was not speaking for the entire north, but for himself and fellow ethnic champions in the north. But the north is bigger than Ciroma and his ethnic and sectional gladiators. Did he make any consultations with all the relevant stakeholders in the north before purporting to speak on behalf of the entire north? The answer appears to be in the negative. And that is in tune with the basic premise of this article that some expired politicians have hijacked their ethnic identities to promote their own political interests in the name of their ethnic groups. How did I know that?

Below is a statement by a fellow northerner, Mr. Yakubu Dati, former Plateau State Commissioner for Information and Communications repudiating Ciroma’s dangerous antics, and for whom Ciroma was certainly not speaking:

“In making that statement, one would want to ask; did he consult the Emir of Zauzau, or the Shehu of Borno, or the Ohinoyi of Ebrialand, or the Gbong Gwon Jos? Aren’t they northerners? Did he consult the north CAN Chairman or the JNI leader in the north? Did he consult the various youth organisations or the women body or the Governors in the North, who are elected representatives of the people? Certainly no, it is very clear that he is driving at a personal agenda.

“From all our researches and enquiries, he has not consulted any of these groups. So, we begin to wonder which north he is talking about. Is it the north of re-cycled leaders who want to keep doing it? He has served as minister; his wife has done same; is it because his son has not been made a minister in this dispensation that he is busy making inflammatory statement?”  (ThisDay 10-21-2010).

Ciroma has constituted himself into a present danger to the present democratic experiment in the nation with his unabashed ethnic crusade. What would happen if other ethnic organizations in the nation begin to behave unruly like AREWA by issuing threats to presidential aspirants from the north? What happens if Ohaneze, SSPA and Afenifere go political full blast by attacking other presidential aspirants from other ethnic groups? What happens if these other ethnic organizations begin to assert the “right” of their regions to produce the next president of the nation in the 2011 elections? And where does the voter fit in, in these scenarios? And who says they’re not entitled to do so? What makes the AREWA entitled to it?

Is the nation’s next president going to be decided by organizations of ethnic champions or by the Nigerian voter who is the constitutionally and statutorily recognized authority in making electoral decisions? Are we going to replace him with ethnic organizations in the next and future elections?

If the answer is in the affirmative, then we must proceed immediately to amend the constitution and the Electoral Act to confer voting rights on ethnic organizations rather than on the individual citizens as is presently the case. There is nothing wrong if Nigeria changes the rules to constitute ethnic organizations into the nation’s electorate for the purpose of electing the president or governor of a state as the case may be. Who knows, it could turn out to be the greatest innovation in democracy or “ethno-cracy”, if you like.

And there could huge economic benefits too for this model. The nation could save itself all the headaches and billions of naira in revising the voter’s register and acquiring DDC machines; huge logistical problems and all that, if the nation’s ethnic organizations such as AREWA, Afenifere, Ohaneze, and others are simply enfranchised to determine the next president and next governors in their respective regions.

If, however, the answer is in the negative, then somebody in the position of authority should immediately call these senile characters to order before greater and permanent harm is done to the nation’s democracy and the fragile unity of the nation.

This is why this writer is encouraged by the reported move by the PDP hierarchy to institute a code of conduct for the party’s presidential aspirants to base their campaigns on issues rather than on ethnicity and personal attacks. If every other profession has a code of ethics, why not politics? A code of ethics might turn out to be the savior of Nigeria’s democracy and by necessary extension, the Nigerian nation itself. It is that crucially important.

But it should not stop with the PDP. INEC should follow suit in order to cover the field. Perhaps the National Assembly should put it in the Electoral Act. There absolutely has got to be some code of ethics for the political class on how they should conduct their campaigns. Ethnic and religious jingoisms have no place at all in the public space. It’s getting past time—to arrest this ugly trend and bring some sanity to the politics.

Nigerians have no shortage of real issues to engage the political class all year round, but ethnicity and religion are not welcome to the table!

Franklin Otorofani, Esq.—Attorney & Public Affairs’ Analyst

Contact: mudiagaone@yahoo.com

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Keeping Faith with Nigeria at 50 in the Great Leap Forward

  • Every independence anniversary provides every nation an opportunity for stock taking—to identify what worked and what failed, what needs to be done and chart the way forward. It’s not an opportunity for gratuitous lamentations and self-deprecations. It’s not an opportunity either for finger pointing and political grandstanding because there is enough blame to go round. However, for those who see only failures there are plenty of failures to talk about. For those who see only successes there are plenty of successes to talk about. And for those who see both failures and successes there are plenty of failures and successes to talk about as well. Nigeria has got everyone covered!—optimists, pessimists, cynics, realists and pragmatists. Take your pick, she got them all covered in her expansive demographic, geographic, and political landscapes.—Franklin Otorofani, Esq.
  • Nigeria’s problems therefore go beyond governments. It’s a nation brimming with opportunists and unprincipled characters whose positions shift with the sands of crass opportunism. That being the case, therefore, it seems to me that such questions as to whether the nation’s jubilee celebrations were justified or not are completely misplaced and borne out of malevolent intents rather than altruistic motivations. That anyone would, in his right mind, choose the very occasion of the nation’s golden jubilee celebrations to dwell exclusively on the nation’s failures while ignoring and/or actively downplaying her successes in several areas of her national endeavors speaks volumes about the essential character and motivations of the individuals concerned.—Franklin Otorofani, Esq.
  • Democracy is superior to military dictatorship on all fronts and Nigeria’s attainment of this democratic milestone is reason enough to celebrate, if for nothing else, for there are no greater attainments for a people than freedom and liberty—Franklin Otorofani, Esq.

 

With the nation’s terrorist-marred, golden jubilee festivities sadly behind us, it is perhaps time to take stock of our standing and assess the progress made so far or lack thereof by the nation since her independence in 1960.

Many Nigerians had in fact done that in their own ways as they saw fit even before the festivities got underway. Ordinarily, a nation’s attainment of that milestone would naturally call for celebrations. Ghana celebrated hers three years ago with aplomb as the first independent nation in Africa, and the world joined her in celebrating, including Nigeria and Nigerians some of whom have now turned around to deny their country similar celebrations.

And Ghana is a less naturally endowed nation than Nigeria ($16.65bn economy) as against Nigeria’s $168.99bn), and per capita income of $630 as against Nigeria’s $1,140 as per World Bank data, with her own share of missed opportunities and general national malaise as with most African nations after independence. In fact, both Ghana and Nigeria tasted military rule just one month apart in the same year when the Balewa’s democratically elected government was topped in Nigeria on January 15th, I966, closely followed by the sack of Nkrumah’s democratically elected government on February 24th, 1966.

Since then both nations have shared the misfortunes of military rule and eventual transition to enduring democratic rule more than a decade ago. Yet no one questioned Ghana’s right to celebrate her golden jubilee even as she remains poor. However, while patriotic and proud Ghanaians would sing the same melodious tunes during their jubilee celebrations Nigerians found themselves singing discordant tunes at their jubilee celebrations.

While many of them, in the face of open hostility toward the celebrations being exhibited in certain misguided quarters, would patriotically and proudly advance persuasive arguments to justify the celebrations, others, disenchanted with the prevailing conditions in the nation and wallowing in self-pity and self-defeatism, would prefer to question the rationale for the celebrations.

It’s thus a case of one nation saddled with two opposite viewpoints on the issue of her 50th birthday celebrations. It would appear as though there is nothing on which Nigerians would agree on including even their nation’s golden jubilee celebrations. Oh, what a nation! Oh, what a people!

Given the divergent opinions canvassed by interested parties for and against the nation’s golden jubilee celebrations, therefore, it has become necessary to put matters in some perspectives particularly in regard to the contention in certain quarters as to whether the celebrations were warranted at all in the first place.

In a fundamental sense it is to be noted that these divergent opinions are reflections of the current political stalemate in the nation in which a distinct national pride has fallen victim to partisan politics, defiled by the stench of presidential politics.

In my characteristic fashion, I propose to deliberate on these matters at some length and the reader is forewarned that fragile egos will be bruised and sensitive feelings will be hurt. I intend to throw it all out there as it is and as blunt and direct as I can be with no pretensions, because I’m not in the business of political correctness nor am I interested in playing Mr. Nice. Therefore, anyone who is allergic to the truth is advised to quit reading this article now!

However, what the reader will find here will be different from the regular materials in the media by individuals who seek to ingratiate themselves to the so-called “masses” and would therefore feed them with what they (want) to hear rather than what they (need) to hear. That’s an important difference that could make a world of difference to the many who have been fed on wrong literary diets all their lives, well until now. That’s what sets my writings apart from all others, because somebody has got to tell it like it is, straight out from the heart with malice to none and goodwill to all.   

‘Failed State’ Hallucinogen

Before going any further, however, let me make myself abundantly clear: There is nothing wrong with people pointing out the nation’s failures with a view to remedying them provided they’re themselves part of the solutions rather than part of the problems. Highlighting our areas of deficiencies is a patriotic duty on the part of any citizens.

However, people should know their time and their occasions for calling the nation’s attention to such issues that everyone is pretty much aware of and therefore need no reminders in the first place. These problems are being talked about everyday and dominate the pages of newspapers and the nation’s airwaves, for crying out loud. There’s time for everything. A good message could be delivered at a wrong time with severe consequences or giving rise to people questioning the real motives of the messenger. Timing is of the essence.

Consequently, there is everything wrong with people turning those problems into a repertoire for an opera and a religion of sorts, with endless lamentations and self-immolation without doing their own part to solving them as citizens, because Nigeria’s problems are not all government problems alone, but citizens’ problems, of which ethnicity, corruption and election rigging are but three of the several holding down the nation.

Those who are quick to reduce all of the nation’s problems to governance are being simply simplistic and avoiding the hard choices necessary to move the nation forward. Nations are not developed by governments alone but by citizens. Governments do not provide for the citizens rather it’s the citizens that provide for the governments. In ideal climes it’s the citizens that provide funding for the government rather than the other way around.

Experience has, however, shown that many of those who cry the most are some of the worst culprits and are complicit in sinking the nation into a deeper hole. We saw, for instance, the case of one Ndudi Elumelu, of the House of Representatives of the power probe infamy, who literarily went on a spending jamboree at the nation’s expense; crying blue murder and alleging monumental corruption in the Nigerian Independent Power Projects (NIPPs), which he could not establish only for him to be implicated in a massive N5bn corruption scandal in the Rural Telephony Agency (REA) projects for which he was detained and currently facing157-count fraud charge. Elemelu’s kangaroo probe not only delayed the completion of the NIPP projects, but was a total and complete waste of the nation’s scarce resources; with charges of bribery dogging its path all through the national show of shame while it lasted. Other examples of this blatant hypocrisy abound in the nation.

Oh, wasn’t Kwara state Governor, Bukola Saraki, the one shouting zoning! zoning! zoning! from the rooftops to get the PDP to zone its presidential slot to the north in order to actualize his presidential ambition on the cheap while he was busy rubbishing zoning in his home state of Kwara and imposing his own sister from the same zone as its gubernatorial aspirant under the same PDP platform? How much more can hypocrisy get? You, the reader, please tell me, because I don’t understand how somebody could speak from both sides of his mouth at the same time on the same issue and get away with it in a nation of 150 million supposedly intelligent people!

So next time you see folks howling, stop, take a deep breath, and watch events unfold. I guarantee it: you’ll be surprised as these folks change the colors of their skins like the proverbial chameleon. Abubakar Atiku is a living example. He’s no longer a democrat but an ethnic bigot. And he could do that without batting an eye, which goes to show his likes as crass opportunists. And you wonder what kind of a president an ethnic bigot would become if given the opportunity. One cannot but conclude that he will become an ethnic president—in this case President of the North. What a shame! What a disaster!

Nigeria’s problems therefore go beyond governments. It’s a nation brimming with opportunists and unprincipled characters whose positions shift with the sands of crass opportunism. That being the case, therefore, it seems to me that such questions as to whether the nation’s jubilee celebrations were justified or not are completely misplaced and borne out of malevolent intents rather than altruistic motivations. That anyone would, in his right mind, choose the very occasion of the nation’s golden jubilee celebrations to dwell exclusively on the nation’s failures while ignoring and/or actively downplaying her successes in several areas of her national endeavors speaks volumes about the essential character and motivations of the individuals concerned.

That this position is being essentially canvassed, virally promoted and propagated by individuals who have already dismissed their own country as a “failed state” tends to lend credence to their ma-la-fides and hence deserve the charges that they’re up to no good in their mischievous dispositions, for as it is written, out of the abundance of the heart the mouth speaketh.

It’s alright to criticize the government of the day, but when you ridicule your own nation before others, you are ridiculing no one but yourself and your fellow citizens. It’s like a child who goes about in public bad mouthing his parents naively thinking that his audience would be sympathetic to him and beat down on his parents. But unknown to him he has become the subject of mockery himself in the end.  

But come to think of it, how is it that those who gleefully dismiss their own country as failed state are the very ones who have refused to leave the country for good and go settle someplace else where they could live out their utopia? And to think that these are individuals, many of whom were educated in Nigeria almost for free by the nation and who have never paid a penny in taxes to the state all their lives, leaves a sour taste in the mouth.

How they expect Nigeria to be America or Germany without paying taxes like citizens of developed nations is one of the greatest delusions of our times. How they expect Niger Delta oil to bear the full brunt of the nation’s development must count as one of the greatest delusions of our times. It’s not going to happen anytime soon because we’re living in the kingdom of fools unless and until we change our dependent mindset and do our own part. It’s amazing that those who demand first rate social services from the state have not found the need to discharge their basic civic responsibilities to the state.

Modern states demand as much from their citizens as the citizens do from them, if not more. In some states military service is compulsory and citizens are conscripted to lay down their lives in defense of their countries. In others at least a quarter of their paychecks go to the states as taxes to help run the government, provide essential utilities and protect lives and properties. Nigeria cannot be any different. The burdens of funding the government must not fall on crude oil alone but must come from the citizens by way of taxation to balance the state/citizen equation. And that’s why the late US President, John Fitzgerald Kennedy, told his countrymen and women not to expect what the country can do for them but what they can do for their country. That exhortation must re-echo in Nigeria as well.  

Citizens who shirk their civic responsibilities to the state have absolutely no rights to demand first rate social services from the state because nothing, I mean, absolutely nothing goes for nothing in the state/citizen relationship. Someone sure needs basic civic education somewhere in order to get his/her perspectives aright. And if you, the reader falls into that class of Nigerians who gives nothing to the state but expects el-dorado in return, it is time to have a word with yourself in the quiet of your home. I told you earlier that I’m giving it straight out from the heart. I’m not looking for votes. 

When we take a dispassionate stock of the performance of Nigerian public office holders in the past and present dispensations, we will find that those who complained the most; those who shouted the most; those who whined the most are the least performers in office when given the opportunity.

Conversely, those who complained the least; those who shouted the least; those who whined the least are the most performers in office when given the opportunity. Examples abound. But we don’t need to look any further that the present Governor of Edo state, Comrade Adams Oshiomhole, and the present INEC Chairman, Professor Atahiru Jega; both of whom were loud mouths against the status quo ante but when given opportunity to serve have resorted to sheer blackmail, intimidation and buck-passing for their lack of performance in office.

The nation has literarily been held hostage by the fire spitting former ASSU president, Prof. Jega, whose fumbling is now casting doubts about his ability to conduct the 2011 elections.  Blackmailing the National Assembly has become his stock in trade in his apparent bid to condition the nation for his eventual failure in the conduct of the 2011 general elections. A while ago he was one of the most vociferous critics in the nation along with Oshiomhole as NLC president. Today we’re confronted with their abject failures buck passing and finger pointing. It’s like we saw it coming. Those of us who had unsuccessfully canvassed the retention of former INEC Chairman, Prof. Maurice Iwu for the job on the premise that the Devil you know is better than the angel you know nothing about, seem to have been vindicated by Jega’s current kokoma dance with the nation’s fate in 2011. But that’s a matter for another piece altogether, coming soon. The saying that empty barrels make the loudest noise holds true for these characters.

Now, contrast that with the present Governor of Lagos state, Mr. Tunde Fashola, who was hardly known in the past and who speak but little; attracting no undue attention to himself; but has become the governors’ Governor in Nigeria with his spectacular performance in office so far. The same can be said about other performers like Governor Princewill Akpabio of Akwa-Ibom state, for example, whom one hardly noticed in the press.

Now, I’ve got to tell you this: Those individuals who are quietly building the new Nigeria are not running around making noise unnecessarily to attract undue attention to themselves. They’re not wasting their valuable times glued to the past and lamenting past failures all the time. They’re not pointing fingers at anyone. They’re simply focused on delivering the goods because they’re smart enough to know that pointing fingers do not get the job done and they will in the end be judged by their own deeds not the failures of their opponents or past governments.  And that’s why they walk the walk, not talk the talk, and let their good deeds talk the talk on their behalves.

The easiest thing in the world is to sit down in Nigeria and dismiss the country as a failed state. What does it take to spout these words? Nothing. Those who left the country to other lands and have seen it all tend to moderate their views about the country, Nigeria, even with all her well known baggage of deficiencies—insecurity of lives and properties, anemic power supplies, corruption, broken infrastructures, joblessness, ethnic rivalries, election rigging, student and labor unrests and what have you. Their views are necessarily moderated by the grim realities in the lands of their sojourn.

Nigeria, a failed state? Who says? Where is the authority for that outlandish and gratuitous designation? Do the proponents and antagonists even know what they’re talking about in the first place? What is the definition of a failed state? Can they give me one?  Chances are they don’t even know it and therefore cannot define it. All they do is just blabbing unconsciously and hope to be taken seriously.

For starters, there are no generally acceptable definitions of a failed state largely due to the difficulties inherent in classifying states as failed due to the existence of certain conditions which might be fleeting and therefore temporary in nature. However, one could glean the nature of failed states by examining what certain authorities regard as conditions that could trigger that classification.

The Crisis States Research Centre of the London School of Economics and Political Science, for example, defines a “failed state” as a condition of “state collapse,” that is a state “that can no longer perform its basic security and development functions” and “has no effective control over its territory and borders.” In short it is one that “can no longer reproduce the conditions for its own existence.” These elements are common to the definitions of a failed state.

Does that mean that states like the United States with border control problems with Mexico for instance, are failed states? Does it mean that the fact that Mexicans are breaching the US/Mexico border with all means necessary including but not limited to shooting US border patrol guards and pouring in qualifies the US to be designated as a failed state? Not one chance in hell. Why? It’s because the US has the means and ability to completely control its borders if and when it decides to do it. Only a fool would consider the US a failed just because it has for now not completely secured its borders with neighboring country and therefore not in total control of its borders.

The reader would notice that the above definition is self-explanatory. The phrases “can no longer perform its basic security and development functions” and “can no longer reproduce the conditions for its own existence,” necessarily imply permanent incapacity not temporary or momentary incapacity. It’s a condition of total paralysis not mere weakness or lack of executive capacity that qualifies a state to be classified as a failed state.    

Thus a failed state is one that has no functioning government that has lost total and complete control over parts or all of its territories; where law and order have completely broken down permanently and irretrievably, not momentarily or periodically, but permanently and irretrievably, because there is hardly any nation on earth where law and order has not broken down temporarily or momentarily at one time or another in its history. The closest analogy to it is failed marriage, which is one that has broken down irretrievably, not just temporarily or momentarily. It is needless to state that Nigeria is none of that.

Examples of failed states that readily come to mind are Afghanistan and Somalia. It is therefore utterly nonsensical and a measure of ignorance for anyone to describe a current and active member of the UN Security Council that is presently engaged in peacekeeping operations in troubled spots all over the world and with her territorial integrity intact, as a failed state.

Now, let’s go over the major maladies that are debilitating the polity which some mischievous individuals are using to describe Nigeria as a failed state in their hallucinatory moments:

Corruption: Corruption in Nigeria is no evidence of a failed state otherwise every nation on earth would qualify for that title. A casual glance at the 2009 report of Transparency International shows that more than half of the countries surveyed are terribly corrupt and all countries have issues with corruption at some level. I don’t care which—developed or under developed. For example the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) report for 2009 shows Nigeria occupying the 130th position along with five other nations—Honduras, Lebanon, Libya, Maldives, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, and Uganda, out of 180. Compare that to the position of Russia, Kenya, and Ukraine’s 146th position, Iran 168th, Hugo Chavez’s Venezuela, 162nd along with Angola, Congo Brazzaville, Democratic Republic of Congo, Guinea-Bissau and Kyrgyzstan. Even developed countries have their share of corruption issues with the US, UK, Germany, France and Japan occupying the 19th, 17th, 14th, 24th and 17th positions respectively. China, the leader of the pack of developing nations occupied the 79th position while Brazil stood at 75th and India 84th position. All these go to demonstrate that corruption is a global problem cutting across both developed and developing nations and by no means peculiar to Nigeria.

Anyone who is still in doubt needs to read the words of the Mr. Medvedev, Prime Minister of Russia—a developed nation on the issue of corruption in his country reproduced hereunder:

“’In our country, corruption isn’t seen as something shameful, it’s part of everyday life,’ he said, before adding that the government is working on a set of moves to step up the fight,” as reported by Forbes.com during Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s trade mission to Russia.

In fact as indicated above Russia ranks 146th out of 180 in its 2009 global corruption index by Transparency International. Does that make her a failed state? Hardly! Russia is a member of the G8 for crying out loud for those who know the meaning of G8. And what about China the world’s most aggressive economic development engine of our times? Hardly different from Russia when it comes to corruption! China’s Communist Party and government officials stink with corruption just as it is in Nigeria. In a report by the Carnegie Endowment prepared by its senior associate and director of China program, Mr. Minxin Pei, we get the following revelation about the high degree of corruption in China as revealed by Chinese government itself:

“The results of annual audits performed by China’s National Audit Agency (NAA) offer another measurement of corruption in China. The NAA’s audits from 1996 to 2005 uncovered 1.29 trillion yuan ($170 billion) in misappropriated and misspent public funds (illegal practices include overstating the number of staff, setting up slush funds, misappropriating special funds, and collecting illegal fees). By this measure, misused government funds represented about 8 percent of the on-budget spending for this period.”

And just like in Nigeria the report states that only an insignificant number of corrupt Chinese officials have been brought to book by the Chinese government.

I have not cited these cases to justify or sanitize corruption in any way, shape or form. God knows I hate it with every fiber of my being and have written extensively about it in the past, but to show that the evil is in no way peculiar to Nigeria. Therefore, its presence in Nigeria and the apparent inability of the Nigerian authorities to curtail it is no evidence of a failed state any more than it is in China and Russia, for example.

Crime: And what is more: High crime rate is no evidence of a failed state otherwise South Africa and the United States, for example, would have been declared failed states a long time ago. The other day I was was going through the New York City Police Department’s report of murders in the city of New York covering up to September this year. And boy, you don’t want to know how many New Yorkers have been cut down in cold blood throughout the five boroughs in the city! Three hundred and eighty six (386) lives have been terminated in New York City as of September this year, not as a result of accidents or sickness, but by cold blooded murderers! By December that figure is bound to reach the 500 mark as had been the case in previous years. Yet the Major of New York is boasting about reduced crime rates! He sure knows what it was like a few years back and what’s becoming now again in his city. But the Major could beat his chest because it’s even worse elsewhere in places like Chicago, Illinois, and in New Ark, New Jersey. Does that make New York or the United States, for that matter, a failed state? Not in this life! Not even in another life either!

Infrastructure, Education, Employment & Power Supplies: By the same token, broken and ill-maintained social infrastructure is no evidence of a failed state either; neither is falling standard of education nor of unemployment or, for that matter, insufficient power supplies. These are no yardsticks for determining whether a state has failed or not otherwise half the nations of the world would have been declared failed states by now. Insufficiencies of social amenities or lack thereof are not determinants of failed states anywhere in the globe and those mouthing such inanities must understand their subject before shooting their tongues like drunken men.

Militant/Terrorist Activities: All I need to state here is that if militant/terrorist activities in a nation would qualify her for the status of a failed state then of course, nations like Spain, UK, India, Kenya, Saudi Arabia, and even the United States would have been declared failed states since all have battled with militant/terrorist activities right in their homeland. Bottom line:     

While Nigerians are justified in expressing their dissatisfaction with the status quo in the country, such expression of dissatisfaction must not be stretched to ridiculous limits. It is a stretch to describe Nigeria as a failed state and I don’t care who is doing it for whatever reasons. I’m, therefore, unable to reconcile myself with the position of anyone who would question the right of any nation to celebrate her birthday, the epochal milestone of her 50th birthday, for that matter, otherwise known as golden jubilee at a time when some nations are wasting trillions of dollars fighting unproductive wars on borrowed money. It would have been eminently understandable to question the rationale for such festival indulgence at such costs if the funds earmarked for it were borrowed from some other nations or international creditors. That obviously is not the case. It’s our money and we get to choose how we spend it howsoever we deem necessary in our peculiar circumstances.

Therefore, the notion that no celebration should take place at all in Nigeria until every hungry stomach is filled and until every pothole in our roadways is filled or until every child is educated, or until every disease is cured right there in Nigeria’s health institutions rather than going abroad, or for that matter, until Nigeria becomes another China or the United States, is plain ridiculous. If that were the case no nation on earth would celebrate anything. It is silly to suggest even for a moment that Nigeria should hold off her golden jubilee celebrations because people are hungry, there is graduate unemployment, broken infrastructures, high level insecurity; blah, blah! blah!

Celebrations are not based on economic or material status in life, but on cultural values and traditions cherished by a given people or nation. And they have never been determined by the material conditions of any nations or their social infrastructures but as cultural and traditional observances.   

It’s an undeniable fact of life that when individuals attain certain milestones in life whether they’re related to age, material, spiritual, or educational attainments, they invariably tend to roll out the drums to celebrate such attainments. And as it is for individuals so it is for corporate bodies, institutions and nations alike. It’s a basic human craving common to all races, nations and ethnic groups. Festivities are not only cultural, but historical markers. Therefore, anyone, group or nation that has no reason whatsoever to celebrate anything in life has no reason to live in the first place. It makes no difference whether the celebrant is a success story who has achieved all his goals in life or not or one who is still struggling to make it in life because in the end success is not an objective, but a subject measure. It’s therefore utterly nonsensical to imagine that Nigeria as a nation would put on funeral garments to mourn her missed opportunities rather than celebrating her attainments however insignificant anyone might think of them.

And those who are more attracted to funeral dirges needed not participate in the celebrations and had all the freedom in the world to hold a counter procession or activities to mourn the failures of the nation at 50 and tag it however they wished to give a public face to their objections to the jubilee celebrations. After all, MEND or its impostors did just that to send their message. Nothing stopped those who wanted Nigeria to mourn at age 50 from staging peaceful protests or some other activity against the festivities to mark the event.

Paradoxically, such protests or activity, if carried out would have been one of the testimonies to the virility and viability of the nation’s rooting democracy as opposed to military jackboots that would brook no opposition or dissent and therefore a veritable reason for celebrating Nigeria at 50.

Democracy is superior to military dictatorship on all fronts and Nigeria’s attainment of this democratic milestone is reason enough to celebrate, if for nothing else, for there are no greater attainments for a people than freedom and liberty, which democracy has brought to the Nigerian people in spite of its imperfections. Life is not all about bread and butter but something more subliminal and spiritual. People do not generally value their freedoms and liberties until they lose them only to later stake their own lives fighting to regain them. Those who lived through the horrible Buhari, IBB and Abacha years knew what it was like to lose their freedoms and liberties because there is more to life than bread and butter, roads, schools and hospitals, ex-cetera, important and indispensible as they are.

I, therefore take the clear, direct and unequivocal position that a solid, unbroken 11-year run on democracy deserves to be celebrated by the nation in her 50th birthday anniversary. And don’t tell me about rigged elections and what’s not because it absolutely makes no difference. There is more to democracy than just elections important as they are.       

Every independence anniversary provides every nation an opportunity for stock taking—to identify what worked and what failed, what needs to be done and chart the way forward. It’s not an opportunity for gratuitous lamentations and self-deprecations. It’s not an opportunity either for finger pointing and political grandstanding because there is enough blame to go round.

However, for those who see only failures there are plenty of failures to talk about. For those who see only successes there are plenty of successes to talk about. And for those who see both failures and successes there are plenty of failures and successes to talk about as well. Nigeria has got everyone covered!—optimists, pessimists, cynics, realists and pragmatists. Take your pick, she got them all covered in her expansive demographic, geographic, and political landscapes.

I don’t know what psychological gratifications the cynics and pessimists derive from their melancholic tunes because I don’t live in their worlds. It might very well be intoxicating somewhat.  However, I would prefer to be associated with the optimists, realists and pragmatists. I want to be associated with forward looking rather than backward looking individuals. I want to live in the present and look up to the future rather than in the past even if the past was glorious. And that’s a deliberate choice that literarily breathes life into my literary endeavors even in the present undertaking.   

Stock Taking

That said I’m all about stock taking in as balanced a manner as possible. However, I must hasten to caution that this stock taking journey will be far from a smooth ride and, in fact, destined to encounter serious bumps everywhere along the way. And the reasons are not altogether far-fetched. Progress and development are not mathematical or statistical certitudes. As such, there will never be complete agreement as to what constitutes progress or lack thereof even amongst economists of different ideological persuasions. Much of what is hauled daily at the public is subjective effusions by those with vested interests. Financial analysts paint rosy pictures of companies they have invested in to boost their share prices and laugh their way to the banks, and talk down companies they have no interests in. Politicians out of power deliberately talk down their nations’ economies and gleefully indulge in doomsday predictions—claiming their nations never had it so bad under governments headed by their opponents.

Thus in environments infested with partisan politics, there are deliberate distortions and exaggerated lamentations of reality by those who seek to wrest political power from the ruling elites on the one hand and deliberate understatement of same by those who seek to retain political power on the other; all calculated to gain political advantage over the opponent. That’s why much of what’s in the public domain is self-serving trash fit only for the gullible. 

If politicians were in charge of measuring the size and health of the economy, any economy, they would be capable of producing only two outcomes—doomsday scenarios on the one hand, and rosy pictures on the other hand, reflecting their political interests and calculations for the next elections! While politicians in opposition would be howling from the rooftops that the economy had virtually collapsed in the hands of their opponents, those in power would counter that they’re in fact growing the economy and point to available statistics to buttress their claim. And that’s why economic growth and development, like beauty, is in the eyes of the beholder. Though measurable with accepted metrics politicians put their own self-serving spins on such economic measurements. 

Nigeria’s Economic Performance—the Statistical Data

Yet there are few generally acceptable yardsticks with which to gauge the material value, health and progress of a nation. Economists like to talk about Gross Domestic Product (GDP), (which is the gross monetary value of all goods and services produced by a nation usually in a year, domestically); Gross National Product (GNP), (which is the gross monetary value of all goods and services produced by a nation both domestically and abroad, also within a year); Per Capita Income (PCI), which is simply the gross national income or revenue divided by her population), Human Development Report (HDR) (which is about people themselves rather than states), or whatever other “P” is out there in their measurement tool kit. More and more metrics are popping up everywhere to gauge different aspects of the economy.  

Using these models how does Nigeria fare at the moment of her 50th birthday celebrations? This timeframe is important because as stated above we must be concerned about the present and the future not about the past for the simple reason that the past is past and cannot be undone.

Data from the World Bank indicate that the Nigerian economy as a whole is valued at $168,994,000,000bn with a per capita income of $1,140.  I don’t know whether this valuation takes into account the value of economic activities taking place at Dugbe market in Ibadan, Ariaria Market in Aba, Ochanja Market in Onitsha, Tejuoso Market in Lagos, Main Market in Jos or New Benin Market in Benin City, or for that matter, the itinerant hawker in the streets of Lagos and elsewhere in the country or even the cab driver. These activities are properly valuated in developed nations and captured in their estimates. Is the pepper or tomato seller in Jos represented in these evaluations? Is the taxi driver accounted for in these estimates? If not, I’m tempted to believe that the Nigerian economy would be much bigger than represented if the unofficial economy was adequately accounted for in the estimates.    

Both the IMF and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) put the nation’s GDP at 7.421% and 7.69% respectively. It’s quite remarkable that of the 43 African countries south of the Sahara surveyed by the IMF Nigeria attained one of the highest growths in GDP, together with the Republic of Congo, 9.684%; Ghana 7.473, Liberia 7.898%, Mozambique 7.001%, with Angola and Botswana coming a distant second with GDP growth rate of 6.483% and 6.593% respectively, while South Africa the largest economy in sub- Sahara Africa grossed 3.231% growth in GDP projected for the year 2010-2011.   

Plus or minus it is fair to conclude that Nigeria has currently attained economic growth rate of well above 7.3% with easily attainable target of 10% in the coming years as disclosed by the Honorable Minister of Finance, Mr. Olusegun Aganga. In fact the CBN governor, Mr. Lamido Sanusi, has projected 7.8% growth rate for the remaining part of 2010.

Broken down into two broad categories of oil and non-oil sectors statistics revealed that the oil sector recorded 3.96% while non-oil sector recorded 8.41% according to the NBS, making non-oil sector the bigger driver of the nation’s economic expansion. Further breakdown of the non-oil sector shows that wholesale and retail sector grew at whopping 11.40% which was attributed to consumer promotions embarked upon to lure consumers to the shopping malls. Agriculture recorded a slight drop to 5.84% from the previous year’s growth of 5.94% in the corresponding period in 2009. But it is still growth not decline. The same is equally true of the financial sector, which recorded 4.3% growth as against 4.40% recorded in corresponding period of 2009.  Again that is growth not recession.  And here comes the big one-telecommunication! This sector alone pulled off a whopping growth rate of 33.74% in the second quarter of 2010 compared to 33.62% in the corresponding period of 2009. Manufacturing recorded 10.48% as against 10.46% in corresponding period of 2009. There are other sectors that contributed to the overall growth rate of 7.4% according to the IMF and 7.69% according to the NBS, but I will stop here. The point has been made with facts and figures drawn not just from the Nigerian authorities alone but from the IMF.

Regionally, the IMF Staff Estimates state that while “Asia Is Leading the Global Recovery” and Latin America is “Sustaining its Growth Momentum”, Middle East and North Africa is “Recovering Strongly”, “CIS Region Is Experiencing Modest Recovery”, and Europe is facing a “Gradual and Uneven Recovery” and the recovery in the United States is “Moderating in the Face of Debt and Continued Uncertainty”, “Growth Is Accelerating” in Sub Saharan Africa”, and in fact, in all of the African continent as whole of which Nigeria is one of the prime drivers by virtue of the size of its economy and further growth prospects.

There is no question therefore that the Nigerian economy is on the upswing with her GDP rising to 7.4% in the current year of which non-oil revenue is said to account for a significant chunk of the upswing. Now, if that is what naysayers call economic recession, I would say bring in on and let’s have more of such “recessions!” If the nation can sustain such “recession” as the IMF has predicted well into the immediate future, then her goal of making it to the 20th largest economy by the year 20/20 becomes ever more feasible.

However, I’m first to recognize that it is not enough to record impressive economic growth. For such growth to be meaningful, it must be translated positively in the lives of ordinary citizens. That is where a purposeful, proactive, and visionary leadership comes in because economies could grow without the citizens feeling the impact of such growth in their lives.

It is the duty of government to find ways and means of reflecting economic growth in the living conditions of its people because in the end economic growth means nothing if not reflected positively in the lives of the citizens.

Yet the reality is that the material conditions of a people cannot change for the better in the absence of economic growth. Therefore, ordinary common sense dictates that government’s efforts must first and foremost be directed at economic growth because the attainment of it is a pre-requisite for the citizens’ economic empowerment and social wellbeing. Wealth must be produced before it is distributed and that’s a no brainer. For that reason therefore anyone who scoffs at economic growth is either naïve or outright mischievous or both. To the extent therefore that Nigeria is currently launched on the path of sustainable economic growth one can only urge the government to maintain the momentum and accelerate the growth.

I can sit here whining and crying all day and all night about the failures of the past or confront the present and the future with all the resources at my disposal. These are some of the things that give me cause for hope because I’m not listening to politicians and cynics who want to paint everything black in order to promote their own political ambitions, but to experts and their evidence. Those who don’t believe statistics emanating from Nigerian authorities can at least believe those coming from credible international organizations like the IMF and the World Bank, which are the definitive and authoritative sources of global economic information and analyses. And anyone who would neither believe the Nigerian authorities nor international authorities surely has a problem. Unfortunately, I’m not in a position to help such individual because I’m not a psycho-therapist. But I have some suggestions:

Such individuals could look up to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), which has set certain development benchmarks for developing countries to meet for solace. Or perhaps look up to Jigni Y. Thinley, Prime Minister of 700,000 population Budhist kingdom of Buthan, who would rather we dumped all these hackneyed gauges and simply adopt happiness as the only true measurement of not just economic but national progress. What a refreshing proposition! That would probably make some cynics happy.

The Prime Minister has added another yardstick to measure a nation’s growth and development, which he called Gross National Happiness (GNH) as the only authentic yardstick for measuring a nation’s growth and development. Using the happiness model, his nation reportedly fared well under his rule. Applying this yardstick only 3% of his tiny kingdom’s population polled in 2005 said they were unhappy while 52% said they were happy and the rest said they were very happy, according to my information source. Not bad at all!  

But the happiness measure had been applied somewhat in Nigeria before which ranked Nigerians are some of the happiest people on earth, their economic conditions notwithstanding suggesting or indicating that such totally subjective model might not be flawless after all and might very well mask the miseries that rule the lives of many that they chose not to reveal publicly or officially to the outside world through such measures.

In a global survey of 65 nations conducted by UK’s New Scientist magazine, between1199-2001 Nigeria topped the list of the Happiness Index. Yes the survey found that Nigerians are the happiest people on the face of the earth! According to the survey, “New Zealand ranked 15 for overall satisfaction, the US 16th, Australia 20th and Britain 24th – although Australia beats the other three for day-to-day happiness.”  

This is an indication that happiness is not necessarily a function of material wellbeing. What does this tell you, the reader? It shows Nigerians are happier than Americans, Britons, Australians in fact citizens of any other developed nation. The survey found that materialism is “a happiness suppressant” which helps to explain why “happiness levels have remained virtually the same in industrialised countries since World War II, although incomes have risen considerably,” according to the New Scientist magazine.

So before the next would be “Andrew” grabs his briefcase and calls it quits with Nigeria and jet out abroad, he should understand clearly that he’s going to join the ranks of unhappy people in whatever country he might emigrate to in Europe or the Americas.

I see it everyday in the United States, for crying out loud! I see anger and frustrations welling up it in the streets of New Ark, New Jersey; Brooklyn, New York; in the ghettoes in Chicago, Washington, DC and California. I see it on roadways, subways, on buses, on trains, and in homes and offices. I see it in blood of innocent citizens flowing in the streets. I see it in bullets flying in the air hitting innocent bystanders in the streets or hitting innocent folks relaxing in their living rooms through their windows. I see the forlorn and distant looks in the faces of those who have suddenly been rendered homeless in their own country because they defaulted in their mortgage payments. I feel the anger and frustrations written all over the long faces of laid off auto workers in the state of Michigan, home to once throbbing and bubbling, but now utterly desolate Detroit, home to America’s auto industry. Heck, I see it at Tea Party rallies!

It’s unhappy people that pull out guns and cut down their entire family members or former co-workers just for getting fired from their jobs. It is unhappy peoples that lay siege in schools and begin to shoot anything in sight including fellow students and faculty members. It’s unhappy people that would put a bullet in the head of another driver over mere right of way arguments. It’s unhappy people that put bullets in their own heads and terminate their lives. Want to see unhappy peoples in action? Welcome to the planet Americana, where anger and frustrations rule the waves! 

It’s alright to crow about public assistance to the jobless and the disposed. But tell that to a man who just lost his job or a family that just lost its home. Oh yes, go ahead and tell them that they’re still better off than their counterparts in Nigeria and see if you’ll come out alive from that encounter.    

What the results of that survey suggest, however, is that happiness is a cultural thing and oftentimes unhappiness is the result of unfulfilled expectations. Some of those high expectations may or may not be realistic or even feasible in the first place. There are several folks running around holding on to unrealistic expectations and unattainable goals at least, not in the short run.

Imagine a middle-aged, middle-class African-American woman with a good paying job venting her frustrations at President Obama during his town-hall meeting in Pennsylvania, USA; that the man she voted for in 2011 has disappointed her and she is tired of defending him, all because he, Obama, had promised to lift up the American middle class during his campaign in 2008 and he had failed to do so. Just imagine that for a second and one begins to wonder what some people really want. She still has her job while others are losing theirs, she still has her home while others are losing theirs, she still has her kids in college benefitting from Obama’s educational policies, while others can’t afford to go to college, yet she is frustrated about the president’s performance! What does she want? The whole world!   

Again, imagine, for instance, the American voters expecting that President Obama would turn the US battered economy around in less than two years and when he failed to achieve that expectation they are now madly unhappy about him, threatening to throw his party out of power in the next midterm election! Or imagine, for that matter, some people in Nigeria expecting that uninterrupted power should begin to flow to their homes and offices upon President Jonathan taking office as substantive president of the nation.  

But then again politicians promise too much to get elected. Unfortunately, the electorate has not wizened up to the unrealistic promises of politicians.

However, as with all things done in anger, handing control of Congress to Republicans out of frustration is guaranteed to exacerbate their present economic conditions and thus drive up their unhappiness index by several notches when literarily the Republicans grind the US government to a halt with their rabid anti-Obama agenda.

Where are you getting your economic information from? Is it from career politicians, beer parlor drunks or from economists, professional bodies and credible organizations like the World Bank, IMF, ADB, Central Bank, NBS, or other UN agencies, just to mention but a few? The source of your economic information and analyses matters because it could make all the difference between hope on the one hand and gloom and doom on the other hand. A lot of innocent folks are plain victims of misinformation, disinformation, distortions and outright lies peddled by individuals with vested interests, because they have not taken the time to find out things for themselves and rely on others to spoon fed them with utter garbage.  

Politicians know that the ordinary Joe and Jane have no time to find out the truth and probably don’t even care about the truth either and would prefer to be fed lies and half truths by political demagogues because it suits their political inclinations and proclivities. An individual who hates a sitting president might prefer to be fed with outright lies and half truths about the economy if those lies and half truths help to portray the president in negative light before the public. The reverse is equally true with supporters of a sitting president who don’t want to hear or see no evil about the sitting president.

But it is important to put matters in clearer perspectives while undertaking a dispassionate analysis of important issues like the economic performance of a nation totally devoid of political inflections and colorations.

Looking Back? Not all Wasted Years!

Whenever the subject of the nation’s stunted growth is broached in any forum it is fashionable to make comparisons between Nigeria and her contemporaries, who started out with her at independence that have since left her far behind like a poor marathoner. Nations like Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Korea, and India; all based in Asia, have all gratuitously provided the benchmarks for judging and evaluating Nigeria’s performance in the development race. It makes no difference that none of these nation is based in the African continent bristling with countries that similarly started out with Nigeria at independence but which have all suffered similar fate that befell Nigeria. No African nation that started out with Nigeria compares favorably to any of the so-called Asian Tigers. Just like Nigeria, they have all been left behind like poor marathoners gasping for breath even before starting out.  

But Nigeria is not just another African country. She is the one African nation that held out the greatest hope at independence by virtue of her population, landmass and natural resources. At independence the nation’s economy was agro-based and she gave a good and solid account of herself with groundnuts and cotton pyramids in the North, Cocoa in the West, rubber and palm oil in the South and East all of which made her a formidable nation that was reckoned with international forums.

And as if that was not enough, the discovery of black gold (crude oil) immediately conferred the title of an economic and political champion on her making her the undisputed leader of Africa. With that she was able to dictate the tune in Africa and she still does even today. There is no diminution in the role. And that’s where the appellation “Giant of Africa” came from.

With this variety and quantum of resources at her disposal unmatched by any other nation on the continent it becomes irresistible and therefore inevitable to judge Nigeria’s development performance not in relation to other African countries but in relation to nations outside of Africa that are similarly endowed. And that’s where its comparison to Asian Tigers makes sense even if she is not an Asian nation. Therefore, it is okay to compare Nigeria with India, Singapore, South Korea, Indonesia or Malaysia, for example, all of which are already breaching the boundaries of developed nations while Nigeria is still in darkness relying on lanterns and candles as sources of light energy. It is guts-wrenching situation. But we all know what caused that. It’s prolonged military rule.

Are we going to reverse that now? What happened in the past belongs to the past rather than bemoaning our underdevelopment all the times. But even so, the Nigeria we have today is radically different from the Nigeria we had at independence. While the nation may not have attained her developmental objectives set at independence by her founding fathers, a failure that has been rightly placed at the doorsteps of military rule, she has, nevertheless managed to spring quite a few successes that are nothing short of remarkable. 

It is noteworthy that Nigeria started out in 1960 with just one University College, Ibadan, in the old Western Region. Fifty years later she has added more than one hundred more universities and even more polytechnics and colleges of educations, amongst others to her portfolio of institutions of higher learning. This geometric increase in the number of universities and placements has naturally occasioned some lowering of standards in certain disciplines, which, as the economist would put it, is the opportunity cost of progress in that sector. Don’t ask me, which sector, because I’m not in a position to tell you. What is important is that falling standards can be upgraded at any time. What if the universities were not available in the first place? Would anyone have been talking about fallen standards?  

Naysayers can say all they want about “falling standards” of education. It makes no difference whatsoever to the huge achievements recorded in this sector. Falling standards, while unacceptable are better than no standards at all, and you’ve got to have the universities in the first place before talking about falling or rising standards.

In any case these complaints are not peculiar to Nigeria. Falling standards or not, a university education is superior to other levels of education and university graduates are in a much better position to contribute to national development than others in that they have acquired the sophisticated tools that enable them to better interpret and influence their social environments.

It must be quickly added in this regard that education, whether tertiary or secondary, is a continuous thing and never confined to the four walls of a college. Real and true education occurs outside the four walls of the universities. At best, universities only provide the groundwork or foundation for lifelong learning. However, that foundation is critically important in order to provide the right and proper mental orientation and perspective to knowledge acquisition later in life outside the universities and colleges.

Naysayers can say all they want about Nigerian universities producing so-called unemployable graduates, but would you rather you had no education at all, to having one that guarantee you no immediate employment upon graduation? I’ll leave the answer to the naysayer but it is pretty obvious. Isn’t it?

This much I would say though:  education is not a job factory, but knowledge factory. And those who acquire it can produce jobs for themselves in the long run. In time past theater arts graduates in Nigeria were considered unemployable and in fact looked down upon. But hey, who is still saying that today in Nigeria? And who is still saying that about music students in Nigeria today? And who the heck is still saying that about arts and religious students in Nigeria today? Who is still saying that about political science students? I could go on and on. The jobs will come to those who know how to get them and put their training and knowledge to work. The job crunch is biting just as hard in developed countries like the US for example as it is in developing countries, including Nigeria. Who has not heard of the huge unemployment problem in the United States going to up to 10% at the present time? You could Nigeria’s is 19% officially. It could be more in reality, but considering the population of the US, 10% unemployment rate sounds like 25% in Nigeria because the US population is more than twice that of Nigeria. Besides, those on welfare are not included in the US count. If they are, we will be hitting a much higher unemployment rate than the 10%. Is that the fault of education? Perhaps all universities in the world are churning out unemployable graduates!  I don’t get it.  

Nigeria has the largest road network in Africa south of the Sahara and that’s no mean feat. No other nation comes close. It wasn’t always like that at independence though. And as it is with education this development has also occasioned poor quality jobs and poor maintenance culture on the part of the government at all levels. Naysayers might dismiss this vast network of roads as death traps, which is all well and good, but I’m yet to see any motorist or traveler, who would prefer not to travel on those ill-maintained roads and stay at home. Which goes to show that, potholed yes, but they’re better than nothing as was the case at independence. It is better to go on ill-maintained roads than not having to go at all because there are no roads to travel on.

The nation can do better in road maintenance and she will do better with enough political pressure, but it is a whole lot better to maintain roads that have already been built than not having roads to maintain in the first place. Get my drift? The bureaucrats sitting in air-conditioned offices at the ministries of works who refuse and/or neglect to put the nation’s roadways in good conditions need not take consolation in what has been said here for their shameless dereliction of duty to the nation, because they are a disgrace to the nation. National road infrastructure must never be toyed with in the manner that Nigerian government officials have been handling them. President Jonathan has his work cut out for him. He must change the nation’s maintenance culture wholesomely as it is done in other less endowed nations in the world. We cannot continue to spend huge sums to built super highways and leave them go down the abyss just like that without holding anyone accountable. This culture of waste must stop and stop now.

I invite the reader to just take a look at the nation’s skies to see how totally transformed it has become. With just one airline at independence, the Nigerian Airways and just one airport, I have since lost count of the number of airlines and airports in Nigeria today. Today there is no region or zone in Nigeria with less than two international gateways and numerous local airports. Rather than the exclusive preserve of the super rich and government big wigs that air travel was at independence, it has become in Nigerian parlance “pure water!” And that is progress by any measure.

We can say the same thing about the revolution that has suddenly engulfed the telecommunication subsector, as well as the print and electronic media in Nigeria. Before I left Nigeria for the US about a decade and half ago, telephones were the exclusive preserve of the rich and a federal minister bluntly told the world that telephones were not for the poor. Today, the poor in Nigeria have more telephones than the rich, thanks to the GSM revolution!  Nigeria now rules Africa and the Far East in telecommunication services with a Nigerian-owned telecommunication company, Globacom becoming a truly global conglomerate first time in Nigeria’s corporate history.  

We can say that again with respect to news media. No longer are Nigerians tethered to just NTA or Radio Nigeria. Like tertiary education, private radio and television stations have revolutionized the news and information industry in Nigeria. There is more revolution yet in the nation’s banking sector. Ever thought that Nigerian banks would one day rule Africa with branches in developed countries? Let’s be honest here for a change.

Like I stated in an earlier article, the creation of states, a brand new federal capital and hundreds of local government councils, have brought developments to the grassroots and government closer to the people. Rather than having my regional capital in Ibadan more than five hundred kilometers from my village and my local government “division” tens of kilometers from my village, I now have my state capital and divisional headquarters literarily in my backyard. Whether the bureaucrats manning these governmental apparatuses are performing or not is of course a different matter altogether. At the moment they may well be performing below expectations, but that could easily be fixed through the democratic process.  

By the way, is Nigeria still a going or a gone concern? I ask this because doomsday prophets have been predicting the demise of the nation pretty much since her independence. Every military coup or general election gets the doomsday prophets out of their trance to strut their stuff at the public square. I was, therefore, pleasantly surprised that they have not relocated from the nation, which demise they so gleefully foretell.  

That they are all still sitting there in Nigeria with no plans whatsoever to relocate elsewhere makes their own predictions hollow and therefore dismissible with a wave of the hand. Their doomsday so-called prophesies could be regarded as mere publicity stunts. That Nigeria has survived every turbulence including a three-year brutal civil war had put the lie to the predictions.

And what’s more: that she has lived long enough to celebrate her golden jubilee and waxing stronger is the doomsday prophet’s ultimate nightmare. It is remarkable that the nation has outlived her doomsday prophets in the past and will do so in the present as she takes aim at her centenary celebrations, hopefully, bomb-free centennial celebrations. This is wishing a great nation and an emerging giant under the sun a happy centennial ahead of time when the clan of naysayers might have gone the way of their predecessors.

But you don’t have to take my words for it because my unbridled and infectious optimism might get the better of me. Take the words of former South African Central Bank Governor and also former labor minister in President Nelson Mandela’s first Cabinet in 1994, and adviser to US investment bank, Goldman Sachs, Mr. Tito Mboweni, reported by ThisDay 101110, who projected that “Nigeria is going to be Africa’s growth story for the next 15 to 20 years.”

That is a forward looking disposition. It is counterproductive for naysayers to be looking backwards rather than forward to constantly bemoan our past failures. There is a reason God placed our eyes in the front rather than in the back to enable us look in front of us not backwards. It takes no efforts to look forward because the eyes are already pointed in that direction but one has to make 180% turn just to be able to look backward. That’s a heck of effort.

It shows man is deliberately programmed to look forward. Other than professional historians, those who make it their business to constantly dwell in the past in gratuitous lamentations are doing themselves and their nation a great disservice. The past is past but the future is within our grasps to mold and shape into whatever forms we desire. People who constantly live in the past in lamentations have already lost the future.

With her rising GDP, Mboweni’s prediction may very well come to pass within the timeframe and that would be in tandem with the nation’s aspiration of making it to the 20th largest economic club in the world. Presently, Nigeria is one of the growth engines in Africa together with South Africa and Egypt, located in the West, South and North of the continent respectively. With dedicated leadership as it seems the case presently, there is no reason Nigeria’s economic expansion should suffer any lag or recession in the near future. With China’s insatiable appetite for crude oil and the nation’s deliberate efforts at developing non-oil exports in order to create a more robust, more resilient, all round economy, there is no reason for pessimism. We must therefore look ahead with renewed optimism that Nigeria’s better days are ahead of her, not behind her. Nigeria will soon become the China of Africa in no distant time. And she will become pull off the African version of the “Great Leap Forward”. All the forecasts point in that direction. Is this a reason for lamentation or hope?

I think it is a great reason for hope and democracy will get us there. Democracy holds the key to unlock the nation’s economic treasures. Therefore, the nation’s economic growth must move in deliberate lockstep with her democratic growth and any attempt to upset the nation’s democratic applecart will spell doom for her economy. While her 11-year run on democracy every effort must be made by the ruling class to sustain the tempo to the glory of the nation as a whole not just a few individuals presently at the helm of affairs. And that means being true democrats rather than democratic pretenders looking for their own welfare and personal aggrandizement. And this should not be reduced to mere platitudes and sterile preachments that move no one. It must be backed with appropriate sanctions by the state enforced to the hilt.   

Democracy is a sport and it must therefore be played by the rules. There are absolutely no two ways about this. Whoever runs foul of the rules must be shown the way out as obtains in all sports. If the nation is able to take care of her democracy she can be rest assured that her economy will take care of itself. She must gun for true democracy and all the rest will be added unto her in full season. She needs no convincing. She only has to look up to South Korea, Indonesia, Taiwan, India, Singapore, and Malaysia to find the proofs.      

Finally, I would like to commend to the reader to the admonition of the British High Commissioner to Nigeria, Bob Dewar, who said that Nigeria should “rise above the mixed fortunes that had trailed its path in the last 50 years by looking forward, not just to 2020 or 2030 but 2060 when the majority of the present youths would have attained adulthood.” (Tribune 09242010)

Well said, Mr. High Commissioner, and that’s reason why I refuse to be bogged down by past failures, but look forward with hope and high expectations for the nation and her blessed people. That is the same mindset of those toiling night and day remaking the new Nigeria of our dreams. It’s the mindset of those folks who just won medals for Nigeria.

It’s time to quit whining. It’s time to quit complaining. It’s time to go to work and help make the “Great Leap Forward” stunning reality.

Be a part of Team Nigeria!

Franklin Otorofani, Esq. Contact: mudiagaone@yahoo.com

MENDing the Nation’s Kidnapped Security Infrastructures

In some weird way, MEND, which claimed responsibility for the Abuja bombings may have unwittingly provided the nation’s security agencies and the government the opportunity not only to test their security drills in real time as opposed to hypothetical or theoretical exercises, but also to overhaul and upgrade the nation’s security infrastructures to world’s standards. The unfortunate part, however, is the deaths that followed, which must be counted as the price the nation had to pay for securing herself in future.—Franklin Otorofani, Esq.

 It is highly unlikely, in fact inconceivable that the bombing of the nation’s capital during her golden jubilee celebrations would have been contemplated let alone executed if the late President Musa Yar’Adua was still in power. MEND, which claimed responsibility for the attacks had never gone beyond Niger Delta to prosecute its war not against the federal government per se, but against oil companies and their installations based in Niger Delta region, not in Abuja, with no oil installations or elsewhere in the federation outside the Niger Delta region. And that’s why the attacks are dripping with the oil of politics, using Niger Delta struggle, which is being addressed under President Jonathan as a convenient smokescreen.— Franklin Otorofani, Esq.  

I had long been planning to do a piece on the worsening security crisis in Nigeria, but had to differ putting pen to paper on the subject due to competing demands, not necessarily in order of importance, for nothing is more important than security of lives and properties in any nation, but in order of immediate relevancy and topicality to rapidly unfolding events. 

Presently Nigeria is in the death grip of politics and not unexpectedly politics has held us all hostages to its infinite demands. However, recent high profile security related events in Nigeria have compelled me to move this subject to the top of my To-do list. I could no longer defer it when bombs are going off in Abuja right in the thick of the nation’s golden jubilee celebrations in the nation’s capital in presence of foreign dignitaries.

And it couldn’t be deferred any longer when innocent, under-age pupils, whom the good Lord, Jesus, had declared would inherit the earth on account of their sheer innocence, harmlessness and defenseless, are being attached, brutalized and traumatized by heartless and conscienceless hoodlums, who would rather prefer not to be known and addressed as lawyers, engineers, doctors, accountants, journalists, professors, writers, scientists, technologists, business moguls, movie stars, musicians, poets, inventors, industrialists, clergymen, whiz kids, or some other noble professional callings, but as hoodlums, kidnappers, and outlaws, who are always on the run from the law even when no one is after them. Anyone who cannot stand up in the crowd to disclose his calling and means of livelihood has got to do some serious reality checks on his life and entire existence.

Sadly and tragically enough, that’s the kind of troubled life some able bodied, mentally alert Nigerians, who could put their brains and brawns to better use have chosen to lead in a world where the youths of other nations are at the cutting edge of technological innovations, creative profundity and entrepreneurial sagacity, among others. Their elders have bequeathed to them such atrocious values of get-rich-quick that no one would be proud to be associated with in the public square siring a generation of “Yahoo Boys,” “Area Boys,” “Bakassi,” “OPC,” campus cultists, hired militants, kidnappers, and what else is out there in the blighted landscape of the Nigerian youth-hood .   

I’m exceedingly troubled and profoundly pained in my heart that those who have it within their intellectual and physical competence to help put Nigeria and Africa on the world map of scientific, artistic and technological innovations in order to help raise the profile of the black race are being utterly wasted in Nigeria. And nowhere is this more profoundly disturbing than in the kidnapping business. Life is too precious and finite to be wasted in criminal activities.

It takes a whole lot more intellectual capital to plan and execute criminal acts and it takes even more efforts to run away from the law in perpetuity than to engage in wholesome activities that would bring glory and honor to the individuals, their families, ethnicity and their country. The usual argument of unemployment in the land predisposing such individuals to criminal behaviors does not hold water because even students from wealthy families have been known to engage in such acts. Besides, they’re not the only unemployed youths in Nigeria. How come they’re the only ones engaging in such heinous crimes when the rest are not? Should every unemployed youth take to criminal activities then, rather than finding and engaging in other wholesome activity? Hard times ought to bring out the best in ingenuity, resourcefulness and innovations, not criminality. But the reverse seems to be the case in Nigeria, particularly in the South/East.

The Nigerian nation ought to address seriously its traditional value system that has been destroyed by morally corrupt, degenerate politicians and military opportunists and adventurers in leadership positions over the years. What is happening in Nigeria today is un-Nigerian and un-African. There are crimes and there are crimes. Kidnapping for ransom is not in the cultural make-up of the people of the South/East or any part of the nation for that matter. It just doesn’t square up with our traditional value system. But then our traditional values have been upended by political vultures. The nation must therefore find ways to reconnect with its traditional roots in order to put an end to these strange behaviors emanating from our youths.

Abia State as Ground Zero

However, for some reasons that I have yet to fathom, it appears kidnappers have settled on Abia state as their national operational headquarters from where they seem to have grown their business model into a veritable franchise of sorts; rapidly expanding throughout the South/East and moving westward into neighboring Delta and Edo states. With every state governor fighting or pretending to be fighting to create jobs for his state’s teeming jobless youths, choosing Abia state as the headquarters of a business would ordinarily have gladdened the heart of Governor Theodore Orji. But being the headquarters of the nation’s burgeoning kidnapping cottage industry is farthest from Orji’s idea of a job spinning industry and would rather its promoters close shop and shop for land elsewhere outside his state to set up shop. That is the Devil’s trophy he does not want for his state.  

Unfortunately for him the promoters of this business model don’t care about his opinion and his likes or dislikes. They don’t need his permission. And why should they, anyway?  They don’t need his Certificate of Approval (C of O).They don’t need a license from Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) to commence operations.  And they don’t need all that battery of lawyers, accountants, marketing gurus, board of directors and a pesky workforce to get down to business. In short, they need no legal framework and paperwork because they operate outside of the law. They’re outlaws! All they need is a bunch of SIM cards to contact the press and demand ransom from relatives of their victims and a few handguns to terrorize the entire state and smile their ways to the banks. And that’s why laughed his so-called amnesty fashioned after the federal government’s to scorn. With a business that lucrative who needs an amnesty program from a Governor Theodore Orji?   

They simply set up shop in his state as a strategic location and dared him to use his gubernatorial powers to evict them. And the poor governor has since found out that he’s powerless and helpless. That sense of powerlessness and helplessness pervades not only the corridors of power in Abia state, but the entire state whose citizens are fleeing the state in droves. That, in and of itself, is a vote of no confidence in the government of the state, which should be of great concern to the government of the state. Security of lives and properties is the first duty of any government, not road construction, hospitals and schools. Security comes first before any other thing.

As the operational headquarters of kidnappers, therefore, the good people of Abia state have had to bear the brunt of the wrath of kidnappers, who have literarily overrun the state and reduced Governor Orji to a poor, miserable player fretting on stage, seemingly dazed and overwhelmed by the kidnappers’ onslaught.

Security wise, these are indeed sad times for the nation. When hoodlums are striking with impunity unchallenged in broad daylight and citizens of a state are fleeing from their homes to the other states and parents are withdrawing their children and wards from schools due to fear of kidnappers, then it is time to get real and get tough. Yes, it’s time to take out the gloves and fight back with all the resources at our disposal because the nation cannot allow itself to be held hostage by a few miscreants.  

Therefore, sad and horrifying as these incidents are, they serve to provide the nation with the opportunity to upgrade its security infrastructures. It’s a truism that every action begets a reaction. Security infrastructure is not emplaced in a vacuum but in response to security challenges. The nations with some of the best security infrastructures in the world today, such as India, Britain, Spain and the United States, for example, did not always have such security systems in place. The security systems these nations have today were put in place in response to the security challenges they faced in the past and as well as in the present. Security systems anywhere are built in response to prevailing security challenges not fortuitously or hypothetically. Otherwise they would not have been built at all. Americans have a saying to drive this home: “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it!” And how do we know it’s broken if it is not put to the test as has happened in Nigeria? While the loss of lives is regrettable real world test is a whole lot better than terror drills and war games that are at best distant approximations to real time security challenges. In the absence of such challenges government and society become complacent and indifferent to potential threats until doomsday is upon them.

There are places in the United States bristling with security cameras, police patrols and security guards due to high crime rates, and there are equally places in the same country with no security cameras at all and minimal law enforcement footprints, where doors are left open all night and cars parked with keys left hanging out their steering wheels. This is equally true of other places. Such places have no need to invest in sophisticated security apparatus and could therefore become soft targets to would be terrorists.

9/11 provided the wake-up call for the US. Kashmir bombings provided the wake-up call for India. IRA bombings provided the wake-up call for Britain. The Bath Separatist Movement bombings provided the wake-up call for Spain, and one could go on and on. Nigeria will not be an exception. Nigeria’s response to the AbdulMuttab saga with full body scanners at the nation’s international gateways shows that it is capable of doing just that as other nations have done when faced with similar challenges. And that is the bottom line.

The ubiquitous close circuit security camera surveillance system in Britain was informed by the nation’s security challenges spawned by the IRA, which regularly sets off bombs in London and other cities putting Britain in perpetual state of alert, which has now heightened by international terrorism. The same is true in the United States, which till this day is the singular focus and target of international terrorism from Al-Queda and its affiliates.

And Europe is not left out either. The whole of the EU is placed under NATO’s and EU security blanket with the security agencies of member nations locked in a mesh of security networks to deal with both local and international terrorism. Security has become one of the biggest industries in the developed and developing worlds stalked by international terrorism. 

Although considered at the periphery of international terrorism, Nigeria is gradually being sucked into the vortex of international terrorism. With Abdul Mutallab’s ill-fated attempt to blow up the Northwest Airline Flight 253 on December 25, 2009, to bombs going off in Warri and Abuja, there is no question that Nigeria will be forced to shed its toga of innocence and complacence and move to emplace robust security surveillance infrastructures just like India, Britain, Spain and the United States, not only at the nation’s international gateways, but internally at municipal level as well, in cities and towns.

Deploying full body scanners at the nation’s international gateways as the Nigerian authorities have done is therefore a direct response to these security challenges, but that’s only the beginning not the end. It’s just the down payment necessary to keep the nation safe at all times. No investment in security is too much because the very existence of the nation and its people depends on it in the age of global terrorism.

The nation’s security challenges have been violently and forcefully brought to the fore by the Abuja bombings and the Abia kidnapping incidents. Both events happening contemporaneously and similar ones in the past, including the kidnap of Lagos based journalists in the same Abia state a few months ago, have served to highlight the inherent weaknesses of the nation’s security infrastructures at both retail and wholesale levels.

By retail is meant security infrastructures deployed and operated in private homes, corporate and institutional premises designed to meet their own security requirements as distinct from public security. Wholesale security level on the other hand entails the general security infrastructures spanning across local and state territories all the way to the nation’s international borders, which could be likened to a nation’s transportation infrastructures.

There is no question that the events in Abuja and Abia state exposed the gaping holes in both retail and wholesale security apparatuses. These holes are so huge a freightliner could go through them effortlessly even while its driver is fast asleep. The hijack of a school bus in broad daylight by a band of kidnappers right under the nose of early morning commuters at 7 am in a presumably traffic choked Aba Township roads and driven around town to a safe haven of the kidnappers, was by no means a fleeting operation conducted in a flash. It’s fair to conjecture that the operation might have taken the kidnappers a few hours to get in and out of town to their hideouts in the woodland. We have since learnt that the kidnappers’ hideouts are not in the city itself but outside of the city, somewhere in the wilderness.

With the previous rampant incidents of kidnappings in the state it is inconceivable that the city of Aba had not been placed on a security blanket with all of its entry and exit points adequately policed and placed on twenty-four hour security surveillance. As soon as the kidnap was made, signals out to have gone out immediately to all security formations from a Command Center, and the entire Aba Township completely locked down and cordoned off, with no vehicles or individuals going in and out of the city. This would have enabled security agents to comb the city and track down the kidnappers in a matter of hours, not days. That’s the business of a well trained, well kitted, motivated professional security outfit that’s alive to its responsibility, not the make believe, lousy patchwork masquerading as law enforcement agencies in Nigeria.     

There is no way a huge school bus could make its way out of the city to the wilderness without getting accosted by security agents in the process. And if the kidnapped kids had been transferred to a different vehicle somewhere in the city before being driven out of the city in a getaway car, there is still no way 15 kids could fit into a single car. They had to be split in different cars to convey them outside of the city to the kidnappers’ hideouts. All these take enormous time sufficient enough to activate the security apparatus and spring it into action before the criminals had a chance to get away with their human cargo.

There is no question in the mind, therefore, that hours not minutes, passed between the time the school bus carrying the kids was ambushed and hijacked, and when the criminals finally got out of the city to their hideouts with a busload of terrified kids and possibly the bus driver himself and his conductor. In all emergency security situations, time is of the essence and reaction time of security and/or emergency operatives is critical to success. Any undue lag in reaction time gives the criminals a chance to get away with their crimes. It’s unacceptable that a huge busload of pupils could be waylaid and hijacked in broad daylight and meandered out of the busy Aba township roads with no one lifting a finger to intercept the hoodlums. And it is equally unacceptable that there is total absence of security apparatus at the city’s entry and exit points to intercept the bus and apprehend the criminals in real time.

What is even more appalling in the Nigerian situation is the fact that kidnappers freely use their cell phones to contact the press, issue statements without getting located and apprehended in the process. How is it that in a country rife with high profile criminality there are no location- tracking devices to pin-point the exact locations of hoodlums, who freely communicate with the Nigerian media at will when these devices are readily available in the open market? What’s going out there, folks? Is it that no one is in charge of the nation’s security or those in charge are too busy lining their own pockets before they’re tossed aside by the powers that be for gross incompetence or other less noble reasons? And why is it so difficult for our security Czars to distinguish themselves on the job so as to make their superiors think twice before they’re relieved of their duties?

It is a matter for regret that former IGP Onovo sat there at Alhaji Kam Salem House in Abuja for close to two years doing nothing about the nation’s security situation. It makes one wonder whether these people are abreast of modern development in security tools and systems that are available in the open markets, or they’re more interested in corruption than protecting the lives and properties of Nigerians. This writer hereby calls for a thoroughly professionalized Nigerian police establishment from the top down as has been done for the military, because the status quo is too embarrassing and no longer acceptable. It has never been, anyway.   

Governors’ Security Responsibility

The business of securing the state of Abia rests squarely in the hands of the state government and no one else. And that is a constitutional mandate. Governors have a constitutional responsibility to protect lives and properties in their respective states. The governor of Abia state should not be allowed to pass the buck of securing his state on someone else, elsewhere in Abuja. The governor is the chief security officer of his state as per the nation’s constitution and it is his burden duty to police the borders of his state and protect the lives and properties of its citizens.  

It is no excuse that he has no direct control of the Nigerian police. He doesn’t necessarily need to be in control of the Nigerian police before he discharges his duty to his state. And this, by the way goes for all the state governors. He has not complained about lack of cooperation from the Abia state police command. In any case, this is not just a question of baton and gun-toting federal police looking for hapless motorists to fleece of their hard earned daily income. It goes beyond regular police work of arresting and prosecuting common criminals to a robust security network that’s capable of responding adequately to the state’s unique security challenges.

And you ask: where is the electricity to power such systems? My answer is, it’s the responsibility of state governors to provide electricity for their states. And you ask further: where will they get the money to provide electricity in their states? My answer is, it’s their responsibility to generate the revenue required to meet their needs including electricity generation and security provisions. No state governor should go cap in hand to Abuja to receive handouts from the federation account in a supposedly federal system of government where states are supposed to be semi-autonomous and semi-independent. The nation cannot afford to continue operating what I would characterize as dependent federalism, which has only succeeded in producing what may be termed executive gubernatorial panhandlers in the nation. Why must the states rely on Abuja for everything from revenue to garbage collection? What do we have state governments for if they cannot perform basic responsibilities assigned to them by the constitution?   

Designing and deploying security surveillance apparatus in the city of Aba and its environs does not require permission of the Nigerian police and the federal government. Rather than donating money and equipment to the federal police in his state that invariably winds up in private pockets the governor is well advised to use his state resources to establish a well articulated security infrastructure in his state with the best expertise available anywhere in the world. And good enough Governor Orji does not need armored tanks and sophisticated firearms to do this. 80% of security work is about intelligence gathering, analysis and sharing, which the state government is lawfully authorized to do without recourse to the Nigerian police. With the spate of kidnapping incidents, Abia state should be bristling with both human and high tech security surveillance infrastructure able to respond to the security demands of the state in real time complete with Central Command Center (CCC), not the ad hoc, fire brigade approach we are witnessing after the fact. 

There is this misconception that security is the business of the Nigerian police alone. Nigerians and the various governments at all levels must come to the understanding that a nation’s security is not the business of one single agency, but a network of several security outfits, including, in several cases, even non security related agencies. Nothing stops the Abia state government from setting up its own security infrastructure equipped with modern surveillance systems and adequately trained security operatives to operate within its own borders. They do not have to carry guns to do their job discretely and effectively, because, as noted above, 80% of security work is devoted to intelligence gathering and sharing, not popping firearms and parading armored tanks in the streets to awe and intimidate.

States must demonstrate their competence in handling their internal security challenges. Just like the States’ Independent Electoral Commissions, nothing stops states from having their own State Security Agencies (SSAs), just like the SSS at the center.   

The Nigerian army has no place in this matter. It’s a shame that the army was called in and literarily took over Abia state while it lasted. Over exposure of the army in matters relating to internal security is dangerous to democracy. The army can only appropriately be called in matters of internal insurrection as was the case with Boko Haram saga in Bauchi and the pogrom in Plateau state, which were clearly beyond the capacity of the police. Anything less should be within the professional competence and capability of the regular police establishment to hand and handle effectively with recourse to the military.   

Internal security is the business of law enforcement agents, who are better trained to deal with civil unrest and crimes and the like with minimal use of light firearms. Although state security operatives might not be allowed to carry light arms, police backup would not be unreasonably denied if requested where there is prior collaborative arrangement on the ground with the state police command in designing and deploying the system. And in the event of failure of timely response by the police, the nation would know where to apportion blame because the state would have done its part.

It’s, therefore, unacceptable to have a situation where a state governor would have to cry to Abuja all the time to call for help when he had all the opportunity in the world of doing the job himself and preventing the hijack of a school bus in his own state in the first place.

I read the newspaper report of how Governor Orji was gushing with appreciation and literarily swooning at the federal authorities in getting the kids freed after he cried to Abuja for help. Pathetic and disgusting, to say the least! It shows how he had abdicated his responsibility to the citizens of Abia state by outsourcing his state security to the federal government rather than manning up to it as the chief security officer of his state.

Running to Abuja for help each time there is an incident in the state shows the Abia state governor as lacking in resources and proactive disposition to security matters in his own state. Those innocent pupils could have been dead before help came their way all the way from Abuja for a matter that’s within his government’s powers and competence to handle and handle effectively, if, and only if he had been proactive and resourceful enough to get a real handle on security matters in his state. Harassed Abians would want to know from their governor how many more kidnapping incidents he needs to see take place in Abia state before he moves to seize the bull by the horn and take the security of his people into his own hands and not in the hands of Abuja bureaucrats? Other state governors shouldn’t wait until their states are turned into Abia state before they put in place appropriate security infrastructures, not mere ad hoc measures.  

State government shouldn’t be concerned only about the roads and bridges they have built or for that matter, the schools and hospitals they have established, but about the investments they have made in securing lives and properties in their respective states because no investment will come to their states in an atmosphere of acute insecurity. A governor that is serious about development must start with providing an environment that’s conducive to economic development. Insecurity is antithetical to economic development. Abia state is fast losing its economic competitive edge to other less security challenged states. All the investments made in Abia state will come to nothing if businesses are fleeing from the state due to unrelenting state of insecurity. No sane investor would set up shop in a security challenged state like Abia. And as reported Abia state is already losing its own citizens to other states as well. Governor Orji should and must not rely on the federal might to deal with the security challenges in own state. He can only do so if his own efforts fail to match the challenges at hand in particular instances and not as a matter of course in all cases.

It bears repeating that as the chief security officer of his state it is his duty to do his job of securing the lives and properties of all Abians and the buck stops at his desk. Running to Abuja for help is not the solution but may well be part of the problem in that it beclouds his vision of his duty as a governor. It’s about time state governors viewed security matters of their states as their business and their business alone. The wanton disregard state governors have for the security of their states is reflected in the lack of security portfolio in their cabinets. The fact that there is hardly any state government with security portfolio in its cabinet speaks volume about governors lack of commitment to security issues which they naïve see as federal concern just because they have no state police under their absolute control.

It would appear however, that one state governor has decided to seize the bull by the horn in security matters in his state. And he is no other than Governor Segun Oni of Ekiti state. How so? Well, as I was rounding up this article this report suddenly popped out on my radar screen as god sent and it made my day. Below is the report as published by the Nigerian Tribune 10062010:

“Ekiti State governor, Mr Segun Oni, has inaugurated the test running of a statewide Integrated Security Alert System designed to trigger-off simultaneous alarms in major police and security formations in the state when crimes are committed.

Speaking at the ceremony held in Ado-Ekiti, on Tuesday, Governor Oni, who called on the people of the state to always volunteer useful information on the activities of criminals to the police and other security agencies, noted that provision of vital information and intelligence reports to security agencies were important factors in crime prevention and detection.

Governor Oni said that a Swift Response Squad (SRS) made up of mobile police men  would patrol the state  in 50 new patrol vehicles recently procured  by the state government and were expected to respond rapidly to  security alarm, and distress calls from members of the public.”

Here we go at last! Somebody has finally picked up the gauntlet. Governor Oni has indeed given flesh and blood to what is being advocated in this write-up. Oh, how I wished it was Governor Theodore Orji of Abia state that is behind this new thinking. Sad to say his name has not been linked to this type of project despite the dire security situation in his state. Perhaps he will read this report. Perhaps his press secretary will show it to him. Or perhaps he’s just flat out too busy worrying about his second term to worry about the state of insecurity in his state. Or perhaps he will surprise us someday.

Now, it may very well be that the governor already has some rickety security structure on the ground in Abia state. There is no question in my mind that the Abia state government has something on the ground given the spate of kidnapping and general crime situation in the state. But having an anaemic security outfit is worse than not having one at all in that it lulls citizens into a false sense of security to the citizens and thus let their guards down. It’s not enough to have “something” on the ground. Security has gone hi-tech. This is not your grandfather time’s whistle and torchlight night-guard-type outfit. Whatever is on the ground must be robust, modern, sophisticated and effective. It must comprise 24-hour, round the clock monitoring, reporting and response components. Orji and other governors are well advised to borrow a leaf from their counterpart in Ekiti state and even improve on his system. Ekiti is one of the poorest states in the federation yet it’s able to invest in a sophisticated security infrastructure as the report shows. It’s all a matter of priority and the political will to pull it through. But I can assure the state governors that investing in robust and sophisticated security network will not break their treasuries. Far from it!    

Citizens’ Civic Security Responsibility  

By citizens is meant not just natural, biological citizens but artificial, corporate citizens well. As indicated earlier, security is the business of all not just the government. Both private and corporate citizens need to take proactive actions to protect themselves and their properties. It’s unimaginable that the citizens of a nation suffering from such high levels of insecurity have no individual security outfits for their homes and offices but would rather outsource their security to an inefficient and ineffective state police establishment that cannot even police itself let alone others.

It’s inconceivable that robbers and assassins could invade home and businesses with utter impunity and operate for hours on end with no security camera and surveillance systems in place. And these are supposed to be homes and businesses of multi millionaires not some poor individuals who cannot afford the cost of security surveillance system.

It’s inconceivable too, that Nigerian entrepreneurs have not seized on the huge opportunities created by the dire security environment in the nation to venture into security related businesses. Even with the relative efficiency and effectiveness of police departments in cities and towns across the US, for example, private security firms are the order of the day and individual and corporate firms invest heavily in their own security infrastructures to help and complement the work of the state and local security agencies.

Cops will not come and guard the homes of individuals and corporate organizations. At best they can only do street patrols not mount guard in the homes of individuals or corporate premises. If individuals and corporate organizations leave their behinds open in the hope that the cops will protect them in their homes and offices, they will pay a big price for that and leave their flanks open to attacks by hoodlums.

It’s, therefore, in their own interest to protect their behinds and their assets by investing in well heeled security personnel and materials. And that explains why private security is big business in the United States. It’s not because it has no effective and efficient law enforcement agencies on the ground but because the job of securing lives and properties is not for the law enforcement agencies alone to handle. They alone can do but little in protecting people’s homes and business establishments or even public places, for that matter. 

It’s about time Nigerians, individual citizens, and corporate organizations alike took their own security into their own hands by investing in security surveillance equipment, men and materials, to help secure their own persons and assets rather than leaving everything to the government. As stated above, government cannot secure people in their homes and offices all by itself and can only respond to events after the fact, which is not good enough. When armed robbers come calling the police will not be there and that’s the reality everywhere in the world both in developed and developing countries. It’s just the reality that we cannot run away unless we want to provide a cop for each and every household and business premise.  

In the same token the police will not be there when kidnappers strike or for that matter, when a bomb is planted in a vehicle and driven to a spot to be set off later. In all these and other cases security surveillance in individual homes, offices as well as in public places, together with hard intelligence work and public alertness, help to expose such activities and nib potential crimes in the bud. That’s why security is the business of everybody not just state security agencies alone.

And that reminds me of the slogan in some cities in the United States: “If you see something, say something,” which is an exhortation to members of the public to be alert and proactive by reporting unusual conditions and situations including the actions and dispositions of individuals that are out of the ordinary or out of the norm. It goes to underline the fact that everybody has a stake in security not just official security agencies, because as said earlier, security is everybody’s business.

This could be illustrated by the example of the street vendor in New York who spotted smokes coming out of a pick-up van loaded with explosives parked in the vicinity of  New York City’s Times Square and immediately contacted the police. But for the vigilance of the street vendor the van might have exploded resulting in mass casualties at the ever bustling “Crossroads of the World!”

Perhaps the Nigerian government needs to start or step up public security awareness campaign rather than remaining complacent and indifferent to goings on in their immediate environments. The two bomb laden vehicles that exploded within the precincts of the Abuja Eagle Square during the jubilee celebrations might have been spotted by some vigilant passersby if Nigerians were a bit more security conscious.

Perhaps the kidnap of a school bus laden with school kids might have been prevented if Abians were a bit more security conscious and had not left everything to the so-called security agencies. It is gratifying to note however that such security consciousness is beginning to germinate in official quarters in Nigeria and hopefully will move into the public domain. Here is a sampler from NNPC, as reported by Thisday Online 10062010:

“In consonance with the health and safety core values of the oil and gas industry worldwide, the management of the NNPC as usual conducted a security drill at the corporate headquarters and all its strategic business units across the country to ward off any possible security breach.

“There is no cause for alarm. The drill is a regular exercise that the corporation carries out from time to time to assure our staff and all our visitors that we are on top of our security situation and to heighten our security alertness. The NNPC Towers is well secured and there is no threat of bomb scare anywhere,” Ajuonuma said.

It was also reported that the management of the National Assembly has instituted stringent security measures to safeguard the premises from possible terrorist attacks. And just today, 10082010, the report came out that the Federal Government has concluded plans to install Closed Circuit Television (CCTV) surveillance system in Abuja!  According to the report by Thisday captioned: “FG to Install CCTV in Abuja,” it quoted the Minister of Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, Senator Bala Mohammed, as disclosing that “CCTV would be installed in strategic locations within the city to transmit signals that would aid in nipping any criminal activity on the bud.”

All these go to buttress my earlier postulation in this article that it takes events like these to awaken a nation to its security challenges. It’s already happening in Nigeria as it happened in the US, India, Israel, Kenya, Saudi Arabia, Britain, Spain, Germany, not to mention, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran and Iraq and all other nations that have suffered terrorist attacks in the past and are still living in fear of further attacks. Eternal vigilance is the price of freedom from terrorism.

 

Federal Security Responsibility

Overall, the nation’s security, whether external or internal, rests with the Federal Government at the center. It is even more so in Nigeria where the central government is in complete control of security agencies including law enforcement agencies. As such, the federal government has a duty to coordinate security matters with the states in order to make for a seamless operation throughout the country under the jurisprudential doctrine of “Covering the Field”.

It’s, therefore, necessary for the federal government to help design a common security platform for the states that’s full integrated with the federal security infrastructures. While regular security challenges can be handled at the state and local levels major security challenges such a breakdown of law and order and terrorism, insurrections and the like properly belong to the federal authorities.

It is true that Nigeria is not a terrorist nation and therefore has no experience in handling terrorist challenges as other nations living in the shadows of terrorism. Therefore, her performance in responding to a major terrorist event such as the Abuja car bombings must be seen and evaluated in that light. It is equally true that nations with more advanced security networks have not always succeeded in preventing terrorist attacks as happened in India, US, Britain, Spain and other countries. As security experts have cautioned, terrorists only have to succeed once to get attention and claim victory even if they fail a million times before that. No one credits security agents for foiling terrorist attacks, but they get all the blame when one manages to pull through no matter how insignificant it might be.   

I’m, therefore, not interested in pointing fingers, but to undertake an objective post mortem of the events. Atrocious and unfortunate as the bombing incidents may have been, and while the nation mourns those who gave up their lives in defense of their country, the incidents provide some silver lining that will ultimately be of immense benefits to the nation.

In some weird way, MEND, which claimed responsibility for the Abuja bombings may have unwittingly provided the nation’s security agencies and the government the opportunity not only to test their security drills in real time as opposed to hypothetical or theoretical exercises, but also to overhaul and upgrade the nation’s security infrastructures to world’s standards. The unfortunate part, however, is the deaths that followed, which must be counted as the price the nation had to pay for securing herself in future.

Although MEND claimed to have issued prior warnings a few hours before the bombs went off, it is clear that those warnings came too little too late. Either that the warnings never got to the targeted audience, who might not be expected to be glued to their laptop screens at that material time or the warnings probably fell on deaf ears. How many people received the text messages and how specific and detailed were the messages?

It’s not enough to generalize the information because Abuja is not a village, but a huge city and specificity is critical to how people react to security intel. The whole of Abuja would not be grounded or all vehicles towed away from the city when the nation was celebrating her golden jubilee with people streaming in and out of the city because of terrorist threats.

The threat must therefore be localized and appropriately dealt with minimal disruptions to normal economic and social activities in the city. In this case preventive actions would probably have been limited to the vicinities of the Three Arms Zone and of course, the Eagle Square, venue of the festivities in the absence of specific intel. But that is by no means a safe bet.

Terrorist could strike anywhere around the city and still have the same impact, same level of casualties and deliver the same message of insecurity to the nation. But the clear political undertone of the action cannot be lost on the nation. There is no question that the strikes were calculated to undermine the Jonathan administration by portraying it as weak and therefore incapable of protecting the nation few months to the general elections.

It is highly unlikely, in fact inconceivable that the bombing of the nation’s capital during her golden jubilee celebrations would have been contemplated let alone executed if the late President Musa Yar’Adua was still in power. MEND, which claimed responsibility for the attacks had never gone beyond Niger Delta to prosecute its war not against the federal government per se, but against oil companies and their installations based in Niger Delta region, not in Abuja, with no oil installations or elsewhere in the federation outside the Niger Delta region. And that’s why the attacks are dripping with the oil of politics, using Niger Delta struggle, which is being addressed under President Jonathan as a convenient smokescreen.

There are no oil companies and installations in Abuja to have warranted the extension of the war to Abuja, which makes the whole thing look, feel and smell politics through and through, and the arrests made so far seem to confirm this view.     

If MEND was out to probe Nigeria’s security defenses just to send a message about the nation’s vulnerabilities, it ought to have issued the warnings publicly through the broadcast media and the newspapers way ahead of time so as to get to the targeted audience well ahead of time. Its failure to do so was a fatal error for which it is now expressing regrets at the unfortunate and senseless deaths that its acts have caused. Those individuals have been callously sacrificed like guinea pigs in a terrorist laboratory.  

It is well within the realm of possibility, however, given the information coming out from the governments of Nigeria and South Africa that the operation might have been executed in a hurry having possibly been detected by British security agencies, which alerted their Nigerian counterparts to the plot. This hypothesis seems more plausible given the fact that the bombers only succeeded in emplacing two bomb laden cars in the vicinity of the Eagle Square, some 500 meters away from the famous Square. If as the SSS spokesperson said in her briefings that some 65 vehicles were towed away from the Three Arms Zone, which she alleged was targeted in the plot, it stands to reason that more vehicles might have been involved in the plot than just the two that exploded.

All of these lead one to the conclusion that the plot was probably conceived to inflict maximum casualties on innocent Nigerians but was thwarted by the authorities who moved in to foil it when the plot was leaked. If this postulation is correct, there’s every reason then to applaud the efforts of the security agencies in minimizing the death tolls to nine. It could have been a whole lot worse.

While every death is regrettable and painful enough, the nation should find consolation in the fact that it could have been much worse. We have witnessed the execution of similar terrorist plots in India, Kenya, Saudi Arabia, Britain, and good old US with mass casualties, even with the best of intelligence available to security operatives in those countries.

The Nigerian security agencies deserve a pat on their backs for moving to neutralize the plot and minimize the casualties, where 100% success had proved unattainable in the circumstances. They cannot be blamed for receiving intelligence from the British about the plot and not completely foiling it. Intelligence information is never precise and often vague and it is left for the security agencies concerned to take all appropriate measures as best they can. But as the 9/11 and the Abdul- Muttalab incidents have proved time and again, it is one thing to have the intelligence and it is quite another to interpret and pin point the specific targets of the terrorist threats.

As I’m writing this piece the entire continent of Europe is in the grip of terrorist threats. The intelligence is there alright but no one knows the specific targets and the day and time of their executions, prompting the Obama administration to issue travel warnings to US citizens travelling to Europe. That’s the messy and indeterminate nature of security intel.

 

Political Undertone

I would prefer to reserve my comments at this time on the unfolding developments regarding the alleged possible involvement of some high level political operatives of a particular presidential aspirant as indicated in their alleged text messages found in the arrested suspects’ cell phones and the political brickbats that are being hauled at one another by those implicated in the terrorist plot and the presidency.  

All I can say for now is that terrorist attacks have occurred on Nigerian soil and on no account should this be reduced to politics as usual. The Nigerian nation has been attacked and is currently under siege like Europe. That amounts to a declaration of war. As such, anyone seeking to introduce politics into a clear security matter deserves to be arrested and prosecuted to the full extent of the law as an accomplice after the fact, because no one has the right to play politics with the security of the nation and the wholly unwarranted death of fellow Nigerians in the service of their country.

Politics might be dirty, but it has its boundaries nevertheless. It’s one of the most shameful things to have come from the desperate camp of some presidential aspirants who are looking for openings to breathe life into their doomed campaigns to seek to gain some political mileage from these sad events. It is my considered view therefore that those seeking to introduce politics into this have something to hide. But should their desperate tactics still the hand of the law from exacting justice? I don’t think so.  

The blood of innocent Nigerians that perished in the terrorist attack is in their hands. Therefore, the incipient campaign of intimidation by certain political desperadoes from certain parts of the country that is designed to obfuscate issues of culpability of certain individuals being linked to the terrorist act must not be allowed to stand and should be rejected by all well meaning Nigerians whose fatherland has been desecrated with the blood of their compatriots.

I’m however reassured by the statement emanating from the bowels of the presidency that “no amount of blackmail will slow the hands of justice.”

I’m further reassured by President Jonathan’s own statement appearing on Facebook, where he reportedly wrote that “we would be failing the past, present and future generations of Nigerians if we do not get to the root of this dastardly act and seek justice the way it should be done in a civilised society such as ours,” and promising that “Whoever is found culpable will face the full weight of the law..”

That’s all the innocent blood of the dead is crying for at this time. Justice, and nothing but justice! Let justice take its course and the chips fall wherever they may, for the dead deserve nothing but justice handed out in its fullest measures. And, may I add, Nigerians too, whose pristine capital has been desecrated and its peace and tranquility senselessly shattered.

Let justice prevail and heavens will not fall. We’ve gone through this path before in the past with coup plotters. Haven’t we? And here we go again!

May God bless and protect Nigeria and her citizens from acts of terrorism.

Franklin Otorofani, Esq. contact: mudiagaone@yahoo.com

Dawn of New Nigeria at 50—Dissecting the Jonathan Declaration

His Facebook declaration was an instant hit and first in history perhaps warranting a place in the Guinness Book of Record; his Eagle Square, Abuja, declaration was unprecedented in its breadth and depth sending shivers down the spines of his opponents and seismic tremors into their terrified camps; but what does Jonathan’s declaration really mean for our beleaguered nation? In other words, what is the value proposition immanent in the Jonathan’s declaration to offer himself as candidate for the nation’s Number One seat in 2011?

This article attempts to answer this singular poser, because buried in the answer is the future of Nigeria and her place in the comity of nations.

Jonathan’s declaration of intent to contest the 2011 presidential election at the Eagle, Abuja, was neither the first declaration of intent to contest presidential elections in Nigeria nor was it the first to take place at that venue. In fact, two days earlier a similar declaration of intent had taken place at that same venue by a notorious presidential pretender whose name I will not dignify in this article because it is bad news for Nigeria.

Except for his bootlickers and those who are out to make a quick buck from his treasure trove of loot everyone else seems to agree with this view, including his former associates in and outside the military who have deserted him like a general without troops. It’s worthy of note that of all the presidential aspirants crowding into the field of play this is the only one whose candidacy would portend present and imminent danger to the nation that must be stopped in his track. Nigerians will accept anything but…  

Every Nigerian ethnic language has an exclamation to ward off potential misfortune, but I would go for the one from the Igbo ethnic group, “Tufia!” (God forbid)! That a man whose name should forever live in infamy and blotted out of the pantheon of Nigerian leaders with red ink has again arrogantly put his hand up in a roll call of future leaders is a monumental provocation that must call all men and women of goodwill who love this serially raped and abused nation and her troubled citizenry to political action without prodding. Nigerians are rising up to say no to evil, not again. They’re saying no to squander-mania and festering corruption. Yes, they’re saying no to geriatric presidency in an age of youthful leadership across the globe. And I’m supremely confident that God will spare this harassed nation another calamitous rule from the Evil One. That is the prayer on the lips of every concerned Nigerian.

That was a necessary and timely distraction because it all ties into the subject of this piece, which is about the future of the nation viewed from the perspectives of the presidential aspirants many of whom have quite frankly become the proverbial old wines in new bottles except for Jonathan among the leading aspirants. That is not to dismiss or ignore the younger ones tiptoeing into the field of play as if afraid to make a splash with their entries, but to square up with the political realities on the ground. This is not the place to assess the relative viability of their candidacies, but to deal with the realities on the ground. Jonathan is the focus of this piece and the assessment of other aspirants must therefore take the back seat for now.   

Would Jonathan’s candidacy make a difference? If he was not the first to make a declaration of intent to vie for the nation’s number one position in or outside of that venue, how was his declaration different from the ones that preceded it? What qualitative difference did Jonathan bring to bear on his declaration that sets him apart from his contemporaries?

In answering this question I must admit my limitations for not being physically present in Nigeria to witness firsthand the declaration. I must confess that I missed the public excitement and the general atmospherics in the declaration which only my physical presence could have guaranteed. As such, I cannot claim firsthand knowledge of the event. I’m therefore constrained to deal with the broader ramifications of the event which is even more important than the nitty-gritty of the declaration. But even so one could feel the excitement in the air across the Atlantic and Pacific oceans in the build up to the carefully choreographed declaration. The huge waves of public excitement in the Jonathan declaration cascaded beyond Nigerian shores across the Atlantic and Pacific oceans buffeting their shorelines in near Tsunamic proportions. And they got to me in my living room, not at political meetings because I’m not a politician but a political analyst with no partisan agenda to push and force down the throats of my readership even though I have my political preferences like everyone else out there. Other than that, I’m just an interested citizen like everyone else wondering what the buzz was all about. After all, who in the world did not key into the declaration, Nigerians and non-Nigerians alike? And which world leader did not pay close attention to the historic event taking place in Nigeria? Jonathan took speculation out of his dream, turning it into a living reality that unsettled entrenched political interests and upended reactionary forces in Nigeria.

I’m naturally interested in anything and everything that’s discomforting to reactionary forces and the status quo ante in Nigeria, and Jonathan’s declaration was a violent jolt to those forces. Those opportunists who had counted on ridding to power on the back of the PDP horse named “Zoning” and hoping that the president would suddenly develop cold feet and pull out of the race to clear the way for them got their worst fears realized and their hopes dashed on the rocks of determination and dogged pursuit of political ambition by a man long written off as a paperweight by Nigeria’s political wheeler dealers.

That’s right. The man they had derisively and contemptuously described as “political lightweight” with no “political power base” or “political structure” on the ground, who would be easily tossed aside to give way to the so-called political heavyweights literarily brought the nation to a standstill with his declaration of intent to contest for the nation’s presidency on September 18, 2010, at the nation’s capital graced by who’s who in the land. His opponents were too dumb to understand that Nigeria’s imperial presidency automatically confers the heavyweight class on the occupant of the nation’s Number One seat. Yes, they do not understand that the power of incumbency can literarily move mountains in a country like Nigeria. They know now who is the real political heavyweight in the country!  But their knowledge is too little too late to make a difference at this hour.        

Jonathan’s declaration says much about careful political planning. Unlike the renegades, he did not rush it even when pressured to do it and built up huge expectation in the air while at the same time allowing his opponents to do the supporting shows before the main event. There’s no question that a lot of planning had gone into that event and that must have explained its delayed execution. And when it came time for execution it flowed with clinical efficiency without a single flaw. By all accounts by the press, Jonathan’s declaration was monumental success. If this is an indication of how Jonathan will run his government there’s indeed cause for hope. Careful planning, flawless execution! It was the result of good and methodical planning rather than the ad hoc, fire brigade scenes we have been harangued with by presidential pretenders who had rushed to declare their candidacies ahead of him without first doing the spadework required for success.

The planning involved not just the wide consultations necessitated by the PDP zoning imbroglio but the innovations that it embodied of which the Facebook declaration was just the opening salvo. It was reported that the president personally extended invitations to his opponents in the PDP to grace his declaration. One newspaper, ThisDay, described it as the first in Nigeria’s history and “talking politics without bitterness” championed by the late Alhaji Ibrahim Waziri of the defunct Great Nigeria People’s Party (GNPP) in the second Republic, “to a whole new level.” All these are qualitative innovations in leadership styles because the tone of leadership is just as important as the substance of it. Jonathan has since thanked Nigerians for making his declaration a mammoth success. That too is a first-small but important gestures in political showmanship.

And although Jonathan is the sitting president at this moment in time and Nigerians are already getting used to his style, it is important that he sets the right tone for his leadership and maintain same now and in the future in order to properly define his leadership style as a wholesome departure from the past, because change is not just a matter of flipping the faces of individuals in the corridors of power, but of policies and their execution as well as of leadership styles. And this is so because at the end of the day it’s not necessarily the number of projects commissioned by a leader that he’s remember for long after he has quit the stage, but the style and quality of his leadership.   

But before we go into the broader ramifications of his declaration, however, it is crucially important that we examine what his declaration tells us about his person and the quality of his character as a person. If Jonathan’s declaration sent any message to Nigerians in particular and to the world in general, it is this:

“I will not allow my enemies and detractors to alter or dictate my destiny and rob me of my natural, legal and constitutional rights as a citizen of my country or for that matter allow them to determine my economic and political future, because I have placed my destiny in my own hands and mold it into whatever shape I desire for myself.”  

Now, that’s a message that I can live with and one that should reverberate in all the nooks and crannies of the world’s citadels of injustice, oppression and marginalization. It’s a message that should be etched permanently in our national consciousness as fitting bequest to generations yet unborn. It’s a message that should be propagated in every homestead and in every village, town, and city until it becomes our living national will and testament, and the unwritten code of our nation’s political, economic and social intercourse.

He has sent the message that, win or lose, his right to vie for any office in the land would not be altered, denied, abridged, short-circuited, or otherwise tampered with under any guise, shape or form. He has delivered the message that no amount of threat, intimidation or politics of exclusion would prevent him from pursuing his dreams to their logical conclusions. And as he delivers that message live and direct from the nation’s pristine capital, echoing across the length and breadth of his fatherland, that child in that far away home or farmstead in that far flung village in Imo, Jigawa, Ondo, Delta, Cross River, Taraba, or Benue state, is listening attentively and taking his or her notes about what’s possible in his/her country, Nigeria.

He/she is taking mental notes about the crumbling walls of political exclusion and fiefdom in Nigeria that had prevented his/her stock from ascending the commanding heights of his country’s leadership since her independence and sees the dawn of a brand new era in the unfolding events in the nation’s political scene. In fact, he/she is witness to history in the making. That is the kind inspiration that the Jonathan declaration has brought to bear on the polity, that a child not born with silver spoon could ascend the summit of political power in Nigeria by pulling himself up by his or her own bootstraps through education, hard work and determination.

As the president himself puts it, that child in any of the above mentioned and other such politically marginalized places in Nigeria has hope “that a child from Otuoke, a small village in the Niger Delta, will one day rise to the position of President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.” And as it is for Otuoke, in Bayelsa state, so shall it be for all such places in Nigeria, because change has come to Nigeria. In Jonathan’s own words:    

“My story symbolizes my dream for Nigeria. The dream that any Nigerian child from Kaura- Namoda to Duke town; from Potiskum to Nsukka, from Isale-Eko to Gboko will be able to realize his God-given potentials, unhindered by tribe or religion and unrestricted by improvised political inhibitions. My story holds out the promise of a new Nigeria. A Nigeria built on the virtues of love and respect for one another, on unity, on industry, on hardwork and on good governance.”

Jonathan said it all and I couldn’t have said it better. And if the reader is mistaking Jonathan for Obama he/she is excused because the comparison is indeed striking. Jonathan’s story closely mirrors Obama’s story—one of a political underdog with poor background rising to the pinnacle of power.

But there’s another message embedded in the Jonathan declaration, which I had alluded to in my previous article to the effect that Jonathan needs to run in order to put to rest the notion that he has not won any election by himself and had always benefitted from the misfortunes of his former bosses. No politician worth his salt would allow such a stigma to be stuck with him in perpetuity. There’s, therefore, a need for him to throw his hat into the ring in his own right as a head of a ticket with someone else acting as his running mate this time around rather than being a perpetual running mate to someone else throughout his political career. And he could only do so by gunning for a political office, and the only one available to him in his capacity as president, is the office of the president in the next election. By throwing his hat into the ring, therefore, Jonathan has sent this message to the world:

“I’m capable of running and winning an election into any elective office of my choice including the office of the governor of a state and president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria as head of my ticket with a running mate of my choice, and no force on earth can stop me from attaining my dream.”   

Here again, this is a message that sits well with me. Jonathan has got to prove that he’s a politician who can run and win elections in his own right rather than being an appendage to somebody else and the forthcoming presidential election presents a golden opportunity to demonstrate this to the whole world.

The nation has not quite seen Jonathan campaign for an elective office. Jonathan is still largely unknown to Nigerians in that particular sense. How would Jonathan conduct himself as head of a ticket? How would he conduct his campaign in relation to other candidates? What would be his style of politicking? Will it be issue-based or the sickening ethnic/cum religious effusions of political desperadoes as we knew it in the past? Will he introduce some elements of civility or enlightened politicking into the mix or the do-or-die political battlefields that Nigerians have been weaned on? Will he resort to mudslinging, which is the traditional staple of his opponents? The answers to these are still up in the air. As running mate not much was known about Jonathan heretofore on these issues, but the nation will have the opportunity of watching and assessing his personal brand of politics in the next few months, which will have far reaching implications in the polity. His Abuja declaration offered the nation a window into his brand of politics and that’s why this analysis is so germane to the overall political discourse.  

And that takes us back to the original question: What qualitative difference did Jonathan bring to bear on his declaration that sets him apart from his contemporaries? For starters that 27 of the 28 PDP governors attended the declaration ceremony is testament to Jonathan’s organizing abilities as well as his general acceptability. It is instructive to note that all the PDP governors from the North, East, West and South attended the declaration with the only missing governor being Governor Bukola Saraki of Kwara state who is himself a presidential aspirant and would not therefore be expected at the ceremony though invited. Besides, all the PDP chieftains were in attendance.

It would appear that all chieftains of the party in and out of government had decided to make a statement of Jonathan’s acceptability to fly the party’s flag come 2011. This is the first time such near unanimity is being exhibited in favor of a presidential aspirant, who is not yet the party’s candidate.

But it’s the result of strategic footwork carried out by his campaign. The fact that Jonathan had named serving governors as his zonal campaign coordinators was a political masterstroke that gave governors a direct stake and responsibility in the emergence of Jonathan as the party’s candidate during the primaries and thereafter in the elections proper. While it is entirely possible that some individuals present at the declaration might have double faces as I had indeed warned in an earlier article, there is no question that the physical presence and pledges of support for the president’s ambition at the ceremony makes it extremely hard for such individuals to turn coat knowing that their political activities and allegiances are under close watch by the party and the Jonathan camp. Nothing is hidden in politics when it comes to the allegiance of an individual leader.

It’s fair to conclude therefore that their public show of support for the Jonathan candidacy is genuine because they have a genuine stake in Jonathan’s victory especially for both returning and retiring governors of the party. And what’s more? Jonathan’s cozy relationship with the PDP governors, who had been allowed to have their way at almost every turn must have paved the way for their public endorsement of his candidacy under the PDP Governors’ Forum earlier on before his eventual declaration. In other words, he had worked hard to water the flowers that blossomed at his declaration.

Without having to speculate on this point, therefore, Jonathan’s victory at the polls would rub off on the returning governors and parliamentarians and vice versa depending on the order of elections. The same is true of retiring governors who are not in a hurry to retire from politics and are therefore looking up to the center for further opportunities to serve the nation in other capacities. And who is in a better position than Jonathan to help them actualize their own individual dreams and aspirations? That, in part, would explain the massive presence of party chieftains, serving office holders, and party faithful. Jonathan is currently the national symbol and representative of the PDP in national affairs. His vision is their vision and his mission is their mission. Again, it’s the power of incumbency at work.

And there are precedents everywhere for serving presidents enjoying automatic tickets for second terms. Whether in advanced or young democracies, no serving president has been denied a chance to go for re-election except where there is some great scandal involving the president, and the PDP is certainly not an exception. The party’s support for President Jonathan is therefore in tandem with global best practices and historical precedents. This is not to say that the primaries are not needed, but its’ fair to say that they’re merely in fulfillment of the books as required by law.

However the point need be made here and now that those contesting against Jonathan as sitting president in the PDP primaries must expect similar treatment next time around when a sitting president from their own ethnic stock or different ethnic background goes for re-election. By challenging Jonathan a precedent has been set that will be followed in future elections. There will be no automatic ticket for a sitting president in the ruling party and all doors are open to challenge a sitting president’s re-election bid in his own party. It must not start and end with Jonathan. This is a point that must be etched in the nation’s political consciousness going forward.

If late President Yar’Adua were alive today and had chosen to go for a second term, it is doubtful if anyone from the PDP would have challenged his re-election bid. It’s doubtful if there would have been PDP presidential primaries in the first place except to endorse his candidacy. His candidacy would have been a foregone conclusion. When Shehu Shagari was in power and went for re-election he got it on a platter without challenge from the South. Chief MKO Abiola was forced out of the NPN in 1983 when he tried to challenge Shagari in that year’s presidential election under the party’s platform. This has been the history. Yet the PDP allowed Northern aspirants to challenge OBJ in 2003 and it’s doing the same thing to Jonathan in 2010. This raises the question whether or not it’s the party’s policy to throw the contest open to all aspirants only when a southerner is in power. I will however not pursue this point any further in the interest of national unity but it’s some food for thought for those preaching the gospel of zoning.       

In his speech that has been described as the best yet since he became president, Jonathan presented the nation with the vision that’s driving his ambition.

“Our country is at the threshold of a new era; an era that beckons for a new kind of leadership; a leadership that is uncontaminated by the prejudices of the past; a leadership committed to change; a leadership that reinvents government, to solve the everyday problems that confront the average Nigerian.”

This is the summation of the Jonathan’s declaration. The first line of the quote talks about a country that “is at the threshold of a new era.” That is a bold statement that can only come from one who has made some bold moves. The title of this piece was in fact inspired by this self evident promise that’s already unfolding in the present Jonathan administration even today. This writer does not deal with mere promises by politicians but with the objective realities on the ground as to the focus and direction of the government in power which happens for the time being to be led by Jonathan himself. Therefore, his declaration must be matched with the realities on the ground.

Now let’s examine this a little closer. Jonathan talks about the country being at the threshold, meaning at the beginnings of a new era. He didn’t say we are there yet but on the way there. It means the nation is only just beginning to turn away from the ways of the past and moving into a future defined by a different set of values. It’s like steering a ship lost at sea with a broken compass in a totally different direction with the help of a new compass pointed in the desired direction, and taking her to her destination. The process of steering that lost steam liner that is Nigeria has only just begun.

However, it is not enough just to begin that process, it is important that the process is seen to its completion. And that takes commitment and perseverance, and above all, continuity to bring about. In that regard, the reader would notice the words “committed to change” and “leadership that reinvents government.” These are the ingredients required to accomplish the task of ushering the nation into a new era of total transformation from a backward, corrupt-ridden nation, where anything goes, to a truly modern, industrialized nation, where nothing goes except as prescribed by law and the constitution and doing away with mutual ethno-religious distrusts and other primordial encumbrances.

The reader would notice in this regard the words “a leadership that is uncontaminated by the prejudices of the past.” This line hints directly at the problem of ethno-religious prejudices that’s prevalent in the nation today, which has prevented her from attaining her goals. We see that even today in the zoning argument in the ruling party. There is no democracy in the world where certain elective positions are reserved for certain sections of the country but it’s happening live in Nigeria due to ethno-religious prejudices thus artificially stifling political competition and denying the nation the best materials for political leadership positions—all in the name of promoting a sense of belonging amongst the component units of the federation as if sense of belonging can and must only be purchased at the price of democracy and political competition.

If positions in all other spheres of our national life are acquired through fair competition it is inconceivable and therefore unacceptable that the reverse should be the case with regard to offices of state. If the parties choose to practice zoning in the allocation of party offices so be it, but no one should impose zoning in state political offices that’s not authorized or sanctioned under the laws and constitution of the land. It defeats totally the idea of one nation.

Nigeria will be 50 by the time this piece gets published. And she will be celebrating her jubilee with pomp and pageantry all over the world. It’s a shame that Nigeria is still a conglomeration of mini-nations rather than a nation fifty years after independence. Zoning is a reaffirmation and revalidation of the statement that Nigeria is still, in the words of late Chief Obafemi Awolowo, “a mere geographical expression” rather than a nation. This appears to be what President Jonathan is set to rectify by damping down the prejudices of the past because he’s uncontaminated by them! While the rest of the bunch is running around fanning the embers of ethnicity, he remains above and beyond the fray as a statesman.

When other failed leaders have chosen to reduce themselves to ethnic champions rather than statesmen Jonathan has distinguished himself as a uniquely positioned statesman who is uncontaminated by the prejudices of the past. Thus if the nation is truly looking for a detribalized leader who will turn her away from the past and move her into a glorious future the choice couldn’t be more stark between those who represent the past and business as usual and those who represent the future devoid of ethno-religious cleavages, mutual distrusts, and recriminations.

This statesmanlike disposition is aptly captured in the following words uttered in his declaration:       

“I have come to launch a campaign of ideas, not one of calumny. I have come to preach love, not hate. I have come to break you away from divisive tendencies of the past which have slowed our drive to true nationhood. I have no enemies to fight. You are all my friends and we share a common destiny.

Now, how many times have you heard a Nigerian leader utter such refreshing words of inspiration? Yes, words alone do not get the job done but they provide a roadmap and the mental disposition of a leader about the issues at stake. Words offer us a window into the thinking of a leader and invariably become the yardsticks with which to judge the actions and performances of leaders down the road. That’s why leaders are held to their promises during elections. In that regard therefore the words of a leader are just as important as his performance in office overall.

If presidential aspirant Goodluck Jonathan says he’s all about politics of ideas, he will be judged by that standard during his electioneering campaigns. If he says he has come to break away from divisive tendencies of the past, he will be judged by that standard down the road. And if he says he has come to preach love, not hate that is a bond he has entered into with the Nigerian people and by which he will be judged in future. He has set a standard for himself and he will be held to that standard. So words are not just words but bonds.

The important thing to note here is that given his position, his public commitment to these wholesome ideals that are presently lacking presents a major challenge not only to him but to his opponents in the race because they form a barometer with which to measure the performance and comportment of other candidates as well should they decide to take the low road during the campaigns by resorting to primordial tactics and politics of personal destruction rather than of ideas as espoused by Jonathan. That to me is one of the qualitative differences he has brought to bear on the polity with respect to how political campaigns are conducted with civility and decorum.

It is instructive to note that it did not start and end with the declaration but has continued to define and animate the Jonathan campaign philosophy till this day while others are resorting to the usual tactics of mudslinging, which is not altogether surprising because that’s all they know. As the saying goes, you could have a cat drink a whole drum of palm oil to change the color of its defecation, but it would still put out black excreta regardless!   

And now we go from the general vision to some specifics in the declaration:

“Let the word go out from this Eagle Square that Jonathan as President in 2011 will herald a new era of transformation of our country; an era that will end the agony of power shortage in our country. Let the word go out from here that I will be for the students, teachers and parents of Nigeria, a President who will advance quality and competitive education.

Let everyone in this country hear that I shall strive to the best of my ability to attain self sufficiency in food production. Let the word go out that my plans for a Sovereign Wealth Fund with an initial capital of $1billion will begin the journey for an economic restoration. This restoration will provide new job opportunities and alleviate poverty. Let the word go out that our health sector will receive maximum priority in a new Jonathan administration, a priority that will ensure maximum health care and stop our brain drain.

Let all the kidnappers, criminal elements, and miscreants that give us a bad name be ready for the fight that I shall give them. Let the ordinary Nigerian be assured that President Jonathan will have zero tolerance for corruption…”

The good thing about this is that these are not mere promises coming from a presidential aspirant. Anyone can truss out promises that are never meant to be kept as the nation has witnessed time and again. And that’s why Jonathan said in his Facebook declaration that he would “promise less and deliver more!”

These problematic areas are already receiving appropriate attention as indicated earlier whether we’re talking about power and energy supplies, transportation infrastructures, security of lives and properties, healthcare and education, and even electoral reforms. The power of incumbency is double edged. While it imposes a duty on the incumbent to demonstrate his bona fides, it also gives an incumbent the chance to get things moving in the right direction that is otherwise not open to non-incumbent, which he could showcase as his achievements and practical demonstration of his vision and mission.

So, for instance, Jonathan could point to the launch of the power sector roadmap and the improvements in power and energy supplies. He could point to achievements in the education sector as well as in transportation infrastructures. He could point to his well received electoral reforms and Nigeria’s rebound in diplomatic circles including her election into the U.N. Security Council, Air Transportation Security certification by the US Department of Transportation, as well as her delisting from the US Terrorist Watch List. He could also point to the massive works going on or about to start in the nation’s international gateways for major upgrades to international standards. He could point to Nigeria’s rehabilitation in the international arena as tangible achievements as well as examples of what lie ahead in his presidency. All these have come to pass within three months of his presidency.

This is however not a reason to pound his chest by declaring that all is now well in the polity, far from it. And he did not. The security situation is far from normalized and the roads are still far from healthy overall, so also is electricity supply, but the great work has started and there is no going back. But there is no way all of the huge problems inherited could have been solved overnight within the span of three months. It’s sufficient that the great work has begun in earnest and there is no going back on the task to making Nigeria whole again. One can only imagine what four more years will bring to the fortunes of our great nation under Jonathan’s leadership, and continuity is critical to success in this regard. One cannot stress this too much. 

At 50, President Goodluck Ebele Azikiwe Jonathan has the singular honor of presiding over the affairs of the nation at her grand 50th birthday celebration. No other Nigerian leader has that historical honor.

At 50, the nation has a brand new president who is committed to change and will lead her into a certain future of total transformation.

 At 50, Nigeria is at the Dawn of a New Era to fulfill the dreams of her founding fathers and change the narrative for the better in the next 50 years at her centenary celebration.

At 50, it’s celebration time for a nation that has defied every doomsday prophesy of disintegration and still going strong!

Happy Celebrations!—One Nation, One People, One Destiny!!

Long live the Federal Republic of Nigeria and may your days be long!!!

Franklin Otorofani, Esq. contact: mudiagaone@yahoo.com

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